WXNewton
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I feel like in the last storm euro ens. matched up very closely to the end results here in Catawba County and they did not jump back and forth a whole lot leading up to the storm. For 3-5 days in a row they showed us anywhere from 1.8"-2.5" and that's about exactly what we got. I would say they were by far more consistent and accurate to the end result than any other solutions that were on the table.
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Best run yet on Euro Ens, here's the last 4 runs.
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So 12z Canadian crushes Western NC and has a catastrophic ice storm in deep south, UK is more of a central and ENC storm, Euro hits parts of western NC with a finger of snow to start but much heavier in ENC and GFS is suppressed and depressed. So all and all the storm is there but timing, track and evolution of the low and how strong the push of arctic air is still anyone's guess. Blend ensembles and we continue to watch for trends heading into the weekend.
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Similar to Canadian and GFS has second wave...Oh boy so much energy on the map I think this will be a few interesting days of model watching ahead.
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Euro def. more north and west this run, but still slides under most of us while the coast gets more moisture.
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UK is a big hit for central and ENC... A blend of that and the Canadian would be nice for everyone on the board.
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The one big thing I've noticed is the moisture seems to blossom on the GFS runs when the high pressure is sitting over West Virginia,Virginia, Pennsylvania area, but on runs where the high pressure is moving down through Kansas, Oklahoma area the low gets shunted into the gulf. It will be interesting to see where the high pressure sets up overhead and how much the low can amplify.
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That's all we can ask for at this point, at least the storm is still showing.
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Suppressed , see what ensembles say
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Euro trending colder at 850s, not much more and this might be something to track for foothills and definitely MTNs.
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Canadian also has a storm...
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Absolutely, that's the hardest part sometimes is when we get one, we are ready to track another one because we are still thirsty for more!
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That's true, trying to not get excited when you see something like that is hard to do. However, the energy being modeled is only like 6-7 days out from working it's way towards us.
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GFS Ens. Definitely have a storm signal at the end of the MLK Holiday. This is showing the 21st-24th timeframe.
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My renter sent these pictures from my MTN cabin in Fleetwood. Estimates 6+" up around 3500'.
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Wow!! This band coming through is definitely the hardest it's snowed all day. Huge flakes!?
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That's about to come through Newton, I'll keep you posted.
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All snow in Newton again, small flakes put coming down hard.
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Just now switched back to moderate snow and sleet.
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Yeah, I was just thinking the same thing, it's not heavy but building up in the trees very quickly. I bet roads are an absolute nightmare.
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Mostly freezing rain/ sleet still in Newton. Pretty heft glaze in trees now.
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1/10-11 super awesome winter SE OBS thread
WXNewton replied to strongwxnc's topic in Southeastern States
Turning back to a really fine snow here in Newton. If the radar will fill back in as that moisture in Tennessee moves through I believe we will see a little more snow. -
1/10-11 super awesome winter SE OBS thread
WXNewton replied to strongwxnc's topic in Southeastern States
Just turned all sleet in Newton -
Just saw the first few flakes in Newton!!
