WXNewton
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Looks like a scene out of a movie.
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Yep got to 32 even at one point, man the radar looks good, almost has the shape of a snowstorm to it.
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00z Canadian has a lot freezing rain this run for much of the state even gets HKY down to 30. Seems a little too cold though.
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Already 32.9/31.6 here, I know that's lower than any model had us at this point. Also RGEM really moved freezing rain totals south.
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Yeah seeing a lot of temps around freezing already just North of Statesville, a degree or two in this setup could be a huge deal!
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Yeah definitely a threat to pay attention to, hopefully Monday's storm will help the trough axis swing more to the east.
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That looks like it's going to get nasty! Catawba county getting closer each run. 34.4 here.
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Yep 32.6 here in Newton, just not our year.
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Nam has freezing rain now all the way into Catawba County.
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I wanted to post that GIFs are kind of my specialty, but for some reason all of my files are too large to upload.
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18z para trended with more freezing rain for Tuesday storm, actually made a big leap south with ice.
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Come on NAM!! I wouldn't at all be shocked for it to suck us all back in.
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Thunder popping in Catawba County, just shook the whole house.
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Interesting that 12z ICON shows main low tracking across the gulf again and not cutting on us. The wedge didn't build in quick enough, but this shows models still have some figuring out to do.
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That's what I was saying last night, the RGEM shows more of a traditional CAD look back here in NW Piedmont and foothills.
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You would think in this setup with the wedge building in as the precip moves in from the south that most places would stay all freezing rain once they get locked in. I am not sure I buy any warming up besides the latent heat released.
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RGEM does the same thing as the NAM and builds the wedge back in later in the day.
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RGEM looked more like your typical wedge with colder temps back in the NW Piedmont compared to the NAM that was more east based wedge.
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During his 5 o'clock news and yes he had a couple videos on FB too.
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Also saw Brad P. in house model tonight and it had almost all of NC in Freezing rain and dropped temps in HKY to 31. It was definitely interesting and seems like other guidance is not too far off from what he was showing. He also seemed a little more excited about a legit ice threat.
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Just makes me wonder about Mon/Tuesday storm after watching the trends today. Do we see the same thing happen with that storm as we get closer with the wedge showing up a little stronger each run and pushing deeper to the south?
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Yep definitely trended further south with temps and precip. The wedge dug down more in the eastern part of NC this run.
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18z Nam colder and more freezing rain for Saturday.
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Totally agree, I remember a storm in Jan of 2016 where models were trying to run the low right through the wedge particularly the GFS. A day or so just before the storm it started going with the other guidance and running it around the wedge and redeveloping on the coast. I think the Nam may do well with this storm once we get in that time frame.
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Euro definitely made a step in the right direction, not far off from a major ice storm. I would put it more in the ICON, Para GFS, Canadian UKMET category but also the warmest of those, still closer to a major storm than GFS.
