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WXNewton

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Everything posted by WXNewton

  1. WXNewton
    Remained consistent!
  2. WXNewton
    The trend on the GFS AI is really impressive...
  3. WXNewton
    Does anyone remember the website for cmc-collaboration model. I remember it used to have a cool look to it!
  4. WXNewton
    NWS blend
  5. WXNewton
    Yes. I just was thinking the same thing.
  6. WXNewton
    RGEM was going to be nice too!
  7. WXNewton
    GEFS becoming pretty consistent of the overall totals and area to be affected. Looks like major jumps, have turned into wobbles at this point. I would expect minor shifts each run, with the overall footprint starting to lock in.
  8. WXNewton
    The 06z NAM and RGEM was starting to handle business.
  9. WXNewton
    GEFS is trending a little further north each run.
  10. WXNewton
    2003 Jan storm kind of did this, had a precip maxima Foothills, NW Piedmont and then another precip maxima right along the coast.
  11. WXNewton
    00z AI GFS trending west each run...Here's the last 6 runs.
  12. WXNewton
    The GFS is really expanding the precip shield to the NW and putting more and more moisture west each run. Here's the last 6 runs, not sure where it will stop.
  13. WXNewton
    ICON ENS are a little wetter and don't agree with the OP for the most part.
  14. WXNewton
    Also that was more of a Sunday storm, so in theory we've already made it closer on this one.
  15. WXNewton
    Yes was in Dec. I remember seeing the red screen on TWC and being in 12-18" never saw a flake.
  16. WXNewton
    Euro is going to be a much better run, increasing totals 3 runs in a row now.
  17. WXNewton
    Totally agree! this is where the lee-side enhancement could really take off.
  18. WXNewton
    Latest NWS model blend...
  19. WXNewton
    GFS ENS trended over the last 4 runs. Factor these totals at 15:1 and from the mtns to the coast is 6"-12"
  20. WXNewton
    According to this, precip was definitely enhanced in western NC when compared to 6z. Very interesting to see how this plays out, but it kind of did like the Euro, 12z looked a tad better than 6z.
  21. WXNewton
    Factoring in 15:1 ratios or 18:1 it was a state wide 6-9" snowfall.
  22. WXNewton
    I would necessarily call this a trend that it shifted East, my take on it is the precip just wasn't as heavy as 6z looks more like a wobble to me and with potential ratios being higher this run was a significant snowstorm per NC standards for the whole state. Here are the last 4 runs and I like where we stand, let's see what Ensembles say.
  23. WXNewton
    I would take the UKMET with a grain of salt, it shifted several hundred miles back and forth last storm in 2-3 runs. Players are on the field and this thing has legs with some ensemble support. Def, going to take another day or two to see how everything comes into alignment.
  24. WXNewton
    I think this will come down to some of the mesoscale models with-in the 12-36 hr timeframe before we really know the dynamics of the ULL. Globals are going to paint a broad path but the hi-res models will hopefully nail any enhancement starting on the lee-side. Long ways to go with many solutions still on the table.
  25. WXNewton
    00z Euro kuchera map...
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