WXNewton
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I work from home and I'll take breaks periodically through the day and step outside to get some fresh air. I'm pretty in tune with nature, and today is definitely an active day for the small animals in the yard. In December of 2018, I remember looking out the window and several trees were full of robins, dozens of them and I'd never seen that before. 2 Days later we got hammered with the snow through Catawba County. I just thought it was an abnormal feeling with the amount of activity going on.
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Outside of watching the models today, I have also observed some weird behavior from animals in the yard. The birds, squirrels and rabbits are all extremely active. It reminds me of 2 days before the big snow storm that hit December of 2018. My grandfather always said you can watch the animals and they'll tell you when something's brewing. I don't know how true it is, but nature is definitely a little more active today than usual.
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12z so far...GFS, Canadian, UK, ICON
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GFS increases totals pretty significantly from 6z
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ICON once again extend snow accumulations further south.
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Looks very similar to the ICON
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06z ICON almost identical run to 0z. Slight increase in totals on the southern edge.
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Overall 18z GEFS brings more precip to the entire area when compared to 12z GEFS the trend is pretty clear.
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Not sure that's the case, both 12z GFS and Canadian actually developed the wedge stronger and deeper this run when compared to 6z, so if anything this run was colder.
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12z Canadian coming with another major hit for many. Moisture looks a lot more abundant and similar to last night's run, lots of ice still.
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I was about to say that, definitely a lot more developed when compared to 12z. Looks promising...it's a major winter storm for many.
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https://www.resortcams.com/webcams/blue-ridge-music-center-visitor/ This band rolling through Galax VA is really thumping.
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Sunrise this morning at 3500' from my cabin between Fleetwood and Todd in Ashe County.
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Definitely more organization in the central and western gulf on the Canadian and GFS 12z runs. Looks like the northern energy was weaker and allowed for more development of the southern energy, might just be noise at this point but something to watch over the next few days. ICON keeps a stronger northern piece and squashes any development in the gulf.
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Last 3 runs on the NAM...
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18Z NAM to 00z NAM
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12Z GEFS and 18Z GEFS- uptick in the NW Piedmont and foothills.
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The NAM was an odd run, the moisture just disappears from hr69 to hr72.
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big difference in 850s hr 60 when compared to 12z
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2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
WXNewton replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
https://www.resortcams.com/webcams/bluffs-blue-ridge-parkway/ -
6z GEFS did increase totals over 00z.
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Yeah was really impressed with the amount that built up. Also stayed 29.6-30.4 for most of the precip. Definitely the most ice we've had in the trees in a few years. Also saw a few limbs and pines snap about 2 hours ago, mostly falling off now, but happy to see it all take place. Ice in the trees can make for a pretty scene out here in the country area.
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Few pic from about 30 mins ago. https://photos.app.goo.gl/hTkJh9pBWuzdRdHf6
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Hrrr, Rap sounded horn last night then NAM came in. Also the WRF-ARW2 was pretty spot on with temps and moisture. Of course RGEM was first to sniff it out. Euro was definitely better than GFS as well.
