WXNewton
-
Posts
588 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by WXNewton
-
1/10-11 super awesome winter SE OBS thread
WXNewton replied to strongwxnc's topic in Southeastern States
https://www.resortcams.com/webcams/helen-ga/ Coming down good and Helen Georgia. -
A good friend of mine just posted this from Northwest Arkansas Bentonville area. He estimate 6 to 7 in and still snowing.
-
1/10-11 super awesome winter SE OBS thread
WXNewton replied to strongwxnc's topic in Southeastern States
23/14 -
Looks close to this mornings RAP model too.
-
Out to hr 41
-
I remember the HRRR doing the same thing for the 2022 storm and also leading the way in the short range for the Dec 2018 storm.
-
I sure hope the new HRRR is correct, looking great at hr 36, sleet/snow line further south then 6z.
-
Not sure on that one, maybe someone else can chime in on that. I would think it might perform better under 15 hrs or so out, it does show some mixing as far north as the I40 corridor, but seems to have heavier precip (bands) being modeled as well.
-
6z GFS higher totals than 0z. 6z Canadian increases totals too. 6z ICON stay nearly step for step as 0z 6z NAM...still north and not in alignment with other guidance. 09z RAP looks great!
-
Just getting ready to post this, here's is the change from last night's run.
-
The HRRR will save us all!
-
I said the exact thing, crazy....
-
6z GFS slightly increased precip throughout much of NC but the problem is more mixing issues with a little further north low. I guess it's splitting hairs at this point, it's hard to get more moisture without causing mixing issues.
-
The overall footprint of accumulations on the 6z NAM, ICON, and Canadian are really close.
-
I work from home and I'll take breaks periodically through the day and step outside to get some fresh air. I'm pretty in tune with nature, and today is definitely an active day for the small animals in the yard. In December of 2018, I remember looking out the window and several trees were full of robins, dozens of them and I'd never seen that before. 2 Days later we got hammered with the snow through Catawba County. I just thought it was an abnormal feeling with the amount of activity going on.
-
Outside of watching the models today, I have also observed some weird behavior from animals in the yard. The birds, squirrels and rabbits are all extremely active. It reminds me of 2 days before the big snow storm that hit December of 2018. My grandfather always said you can watch the animals and they'll tell you when something's brewing. I don't know how true it is, but nature is definitely a little more active today than usual.
-
12z so far...GFS, Canadian, UK, ICON
-
GFS increases totals pretty significantly from 6z
-
ICON once again extend snow accumulations further south.
-
Looks very similar to the ICON
-
06z ICON almost identical run to 0z. Slight increase in totals on the southern edge.
-
Overall 18z GEFS brings more precip to the entire area when compared to 12z GEFS the trend is pretty clear.
-
Not sure that's the case, both 12z GFS and Canadian actually developed the wedge stronger and deeper this run when compared to 6z, so if anything this run was colder.
-
12z Canadian coming with another major hit for many. Moisture looks a lot more abundant and similar to last night's run, lots of ice still.
