WXNewton
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Everything posted by WXNewton
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Maybe we will see the models settle somewhere between the Nam and Euro which is less amped for the moment. It's a delicate balance because I feel like we need the better rates and heavier moisture to get some snow, but that's always going to bring some warmer air in too.
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Yeah me too, looks similar to the para GFS this run with the placement of snow and rain line.
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Nam definitely looking more like a storm now.
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Can you post map?
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12Z Nam trending stronger with the upper energy entering the US. Lets see where this run goes...
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I agree, the NW trend is always real! I thought the storm as a whole looked more organized and stronger this run which is probably why you see the NW movement. Totals went up in my area but definitely closer to the rain line.
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You can see the upper level energy trending stronger and trying to dig harder in NE Arkansas and Western Tennessee this run.
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I feel like the models are trending better for Sunday. The Para Gfs that first latched onto the Jan 28th snow might lead the trend this time. I think today we will start to see the models make corrections NW and more precipitation over spreading the region.
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Yeah at hr 114 that low is in a good spot tracking across the gulf coast. You would think with a track similar to this our area would be closer to getting a good storm. I think there's some room for this to trend better for us.
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12z GFS trending wetter and more organized for Sunday.
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00z GFS with another trend in the right direction for next weekend.
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I am right there with you in Catawba County. Left the house early this morning and saw some good snow around NC/VA line. Would love to watch it at home, but sometimes weather nuts have to follow the storm!
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Snowing in Newton
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FWIW- 18z GFS did trend freezing rain further south.
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That's good to hear, heading my way in Newton over the next hour.
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RGEM seemed to be slightly cooler than 18z.
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Nam 3km appears to be coming in a tad colder for some of the foothills and NW Piedmont.
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Not sure about the accuracy of these short range models but freezing rain is pretty far south.
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Canadian with another slight push south with the wedge. Little more pronounced and temps colder this run.
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You can clearly see the finger wedge settled into place. Would like to see the wedge more rounded out at the base with a push further south. Seems like the confluence over NE is causing more of ENE wind v.s. NNE wind.
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Also hinting at a possible deform band swinging through on Monday. I know some other guidance has shown that possibility as well.
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The one thing I notice is temps are running 7-8 degrees colder on average for the low on Saturday compared to most of the other models.
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First post on this forum, you can see the low trending to the south and west some each run as well as the wedge building in and becoming more pronounced.
