WXNewton
-
Posts
588 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by WXNewton
-
Yep definitely trended further south with temps and precip. The wedge dug down more in the eastern part of NC this run.
-
18z Nam colder and more freezing rain for Saturday.
-
Totally agree, I remember a storm in Jan of 2016 where models were trying to run the low right through the wedge particularly the GFS. A day or so just before the storm it started going with the other guidance and running it around the wedge and redeveloping on the coast. I think the Nam may do well with this storm once we get in that time frame.
-
Euro definitely made a step in the right direction, not far off from a major ice storm. I would put it more in the ICON, Para GFS, Canadian UKMET category but also the warmest of those, still closer to a major storm than GFS.
-
hr 120 Raleigh is about 3 degrees colder CLT is around 1 or so than 00z
-
Also the hole on the para in the NC foothills is quite a bit of sleet.
-
12z Canadian more in line with Para GFS
-
Yeah something doesn't seem right about that. I believe if it does run north toward TN it should be like hitting a wall and go under wedge and redevelop on the coast. I would say that this is going to need a few days to be resolved.
-
12z GFS can't get the high out front fast enough and it's weaker, looks a lot like last nights Euro.
-
The high stays in a pretty decent position for most of the storm and is right over the heart of NE snow pack, I assume the feed of cold air stays locked in and transporting NE winds over temps in the single digits and teens.
-
The southern fringes of the wedge warmed up some from 00z but in the heart of the CAD region temps stayed pretty close to 00z. Low did track toward the APPs this run and Miller-B around the southern edge of the wedge to the coast.
-
12Z ICON looks like it could be setting up for something nice, HP moving to the east in conjunction with low pressure over the gulf. If the high can build in first and stay out in front it should be a big run.
-
12Z RGEM coming in colder from 6z and colder than 12z NAM
-
Thanks, lets see what the NAM says.
-
Did freezing rain make it into the Catawba Valley area?
-
12z ICON also looks like major ICESTORM for Tuesday as well.
-
Not many memories from 33 and rain but 25 and freezing rain will create an everlasting memory. I think for me it's something that takes the ordinary daily living away and for a day or two you can experience something that is extreme.
-
That would be worse case scenario for car accidents. I remember light icing events where models and even the radar had trouble detecting the moisture and many roads and bridges becoming impassable. Again this seems like something we haven't seen in a while but can lead to many issues with travel.
-
Maybe today the trend will be for a 2nd batch of precip building in during the early morning hours on Saturday. With the frigid airmass to our north slowly sinking in this would possibly lead to a lot of light freezing drizzle/sleet that might be more extensive than the models are detecting.
-
Lets hope! This could be the big dog, seems like all 3 global models now have the high pressure in a similar position and with moisture overrunning the CAD. In the past it seems like the euro latches on to these bigger storms first and now we are seeing some agreement on timing, temps and moisture.
-
-
Freezing Rain
-
Looks like 00Z RGEM has much better CAD setting up at hr 51. 00z RGEM and 00z NAM still pretty far apart.
-
Yep just noticed that too, it's difficult to watch the models literally bounce around 10-14 degrees different in one or two runs. This run had a low pressure off the coast that wasn't on 18z.
-
18z RGEM will be out soon
