WXNewton
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I don't know much about the ICON, but that sucker has been rock stead on its output, it's either really right or really wrong!
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Still a pretty big difference between RGEM and 12km NAM, here's hr 36 and hr 39.
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The High over the NE built in a touch further south this run compared to 12z. Just small details at this point not really much more to go off of.
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Actually trended a here further south and looked a little weaker.
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And the RGEM says hold up a minute!
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Of courses it crushes Central NJ to NYC
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That low in TN is killing us.
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Seems like the biggest trend is the low over TN wants to hang on longer which is wrecking the midlevels. Then the energy jumps to the east when the low takes over on the coast. Maybe I missing something but this can't be good.
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At least it improved from 12z lol!
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That energy in TN seems to be ramping up more and more each run, I think that has cause it to slow down some and separate from the front end thump.
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Out to hr 48 and Euro looks more in line with RGEM and Canadian.
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UKMET shifts heaviest snowfall right up against the escarpment.
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I wouldn't give up on this one just yet, but anything frozen to me right now will be a win.
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Catawba County as well.
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The 12z trend is to cut totals on eastern edge and move heaviest accumulations right up the escarpment from NE GA into VA
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SREF plumes for Hickory are a little over 2". I expect an advisory for 1-2 here with maybe 1/2" of sleet and honestly that would be great if we could pull that off.
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NAM 12 KM, NAM 3KM and 12z RGEM
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GFS looking a lot better too.
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You are right, not too far off from each other with precip placement and type of precip.
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Yeah it's a middle solution between the GFS and the RGEM.
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Increased totals in the central part of NC. Good trends on 00z GFS, the snow seems to be covering a greater portion of the state and the general 1-3" is covering a greater area.
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Increased totals in the central part of NC.
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Yeah and seems like it runs the coldest of all the models. During the last potential ice storm it had major accumulations for me and as it got close to go time it lost the freezing rain theory.
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Yeah crazy the difference between Nam and RGEM. Mountains and Virginia go from big storm to basically nothing... Model mayhem, that's why it's so hard to write anything in stone more than a day or two out.
