WXNewton
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2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
WXNewton replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
https://www.resortcams.com/webcams/bluffs-blue-ridge-parkway/ -
6z GEFS did increase totals over 00z.
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Yeah was really impressed with the amount that built up. Also stayed 29.6-30.4 for most of the precip. Definitely the most ice we've had in the trees in a few years. Also saw a few limbs and pines snap about 2 hours ago, mostly falling off now, but happy to see it all take place. Ice in the trees can make for a pretty scene out here in the country area.
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Few pic from about 30 mins ago. https://photos.app.goo.gl/hTkJh9pBWuzdRdHf6
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Hrrr, Rap sounded horn last night then NAM came in. Also the WRF-ARW2 was pretty spot on with temps and moisture. Of course RGEM was first to sniff it out. Euro was definitely better than GFS as well.
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Definitely an overachiever here as far as ice goes. GFS did horrible with precip back to the west and the ice. RGEM sniffed it out first and stayed course with it. I've listen to constant scanner chatter from 4:30-9:45 wrecks every few minutes. https://photos.app.goo.gl/2VhcxMJfgxAZfgxp7
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Probably close to .2-.25 here in central Catawba County. Definitely trees starting to sag.
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At least .1-.15 in the trees here.
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Just going to leave this here and there was also a video posted on Facebook about warm temps and absolutely no issues with roads. Really misleading when you are such a big TV met and people really listen to what you say. Listening to scanner now and 321 is solid sheet of ice multiple wrecks currently happening.
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Holding about 29.6 here, good build up starting in the trees and all elevated surfaces.
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Listening to scanner several accidents here now ongoing.
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All elevated surfaces frozen here and cars especially. Schools on a 3hr delay now
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30.2 here in Newton all elevated and metal surfaces freezing over fast.
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Yep increased ice totals and area now for 5 runs in a row.
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Sounding for HKY tomorrow morning at 8 a.m.
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I think it's more moisture being picked up by the models and more evaporative cooling taking place.
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You are exactly right and we've been seeing it for days but most of the mainstream news has just blew it off. I get it, we are use to seeing these setups trend away at the last minute, it's unusual to see it go the opposite way towards more ice for us.
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Trend on the hrrr is big too!
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Winter Weather Advisory now for Lincoln, Catawba, Iredell, Davie, Rowan. The last 4 runs of the RAP model keeps upping totals and expanding the ice in the piedmont.
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All models are trending wetter tonight and real time temps seem to be running a little cooler than most models are showing.
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Listened to Brad P's video today and he basically said roads would have zero issues that road temps were running mild! People hear that on the news and don't think anything else about it until they are sliding sideways on a bridge.
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Really looking more like the RGEM has been showing for a day or two now.
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Latest RAP model shows several hours of light freezing rain tomorrow morning. Temps around 31, already sitting at 30.5 in Newton and clear skies, any precip could cause some issues. Also hit a low of 21 this morning so the ground is cold.
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I really think around day break tomorrow there could be issues around the I77-I40 corridor. I know it's not looking like much but with temps as could as they were this morning and the lastest hrrr showing temps right around 30-31 even the lightest amounts of drizzle/sleet could cause issues on bridges and overpasses. To me this a tricky situation because even the slightest amount of ice can catch people off guard especially when the news says expect zero issues on the roadways.
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I'll be Nam'ed
