WXNewton
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Just going to leave this here and there was also a video posted on Facebook about warm temps and absolutely no issues with roads. Really misleading when you are such a big TV met and people really listen to what you say. Listening to scanner now and 321 is solid sheet of ice multiple wrecks currently happening.
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Holding about 29.6 here, good build up starting in the trees and all elevated surfaces.
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Listening to scanner several accidents here now ongoing.
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All elevated surfaces frozen here and cars especially. Schools on a 3hr delay now
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30.2 here in Newton all elevated and metal surfaces freezing over fast.
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Yep increased ice totals and area now for 5 runs in a row.
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Sounding for HKY tomorrow morning at 8 a.m.
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I think it's more moisture being picked up by the models and more evaporative cooling taking place.
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You are exactly right and we've been seeing it for days but most of the mainstream news has just blew it off. I get it, we are use to seeing these setups trend away at the last minute, it's unusual to see it go the opposite way towards more ice for us.
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Trend on the hrrr is big too!
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Winter Weather Advisory now for Lincoln, Catawba, Iredell, Davie, Rowan. The last 4 runs of the RAP model keeps upping totals and expanding the ice in the piedmont.
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All models are trending wetter tonight and real time temps seem to be running a little cooler than most models are showing.
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Listened to Brad P's video today and he basically said roads would have zero issues that road temps were running mild! People hear that on the news and don't think anything else about it until they are sliding sideways on a bridge.
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Really looking more like the RGEM has been showing for a day or two now.
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Latest RAP model shows several hours of light freezing rain tomorrow morning. Temps around 31, already sitting at 30.5 in Newton and clear skies, any precip could cause some issues. Also hit a low of 21 this morning so the ground is cold.
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I really think around day break tomorrow there could be issues around the I77-I40 corridor. I know it's not looking like much but with temps as could as they were this morning and the lastest hrrr showing temps right around 30-31 even the lightest amounts of drizzle/sleet could cause issues on bridges and overpasses. To me this a tricky situation because even the slightest amount of ice can catch people off guard especially when the news says expect zero issues on the roadways.
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I'll be Nam'ed
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Yep, typically if he calls for it up in Catawba County I tend not to expect much and when he calls it off look out for the big dog. Moved us to 1-2" on the Jan 15th storm and wound up with 6-7" of snow/sleet.
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Yeah not a good sign for those of us back to the west, esp when op run and ENS start to zero in together or atleast come closer together. Also the 18z EURO lines up pretty well with the GEFS and UKMET tonight.
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00z UKMET-painting the heaviest totals in the same spot as the GEFS.
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The op and the ENS are coming closer together on that run v.s. 18z run. Further east looking better right now.
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00z ICON is still suppressed, but shows signs of the upper level trying to pop some precip in the western part of the state.
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Congrats upstate SC that run and east of 85, def. trended more suppressed south and east. Earlier on in the run upper level went neutral faster but actually went negative later than 18z did. 18z map on the bottom, trend towards Euro that run. This has been the trend for 2 weeks now.
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00z GFS cutting upper level low even earlier this run @ hr 69 its already cutoff as it's rolling through TX. Trough axis going more neutral earlier too, might be a good run.
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hr 84 on NAM has the same bowling ball upper level low as GFS digging through N. Louisiana and S. Arkansas. If that run would continue I think it would bring some good energy under the mountains.
