WXNewton
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Everything posted by WXNewton
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Maybe short-range models will start to sniff out this dense air mass and pickup on the potential faster than the globals will.
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Yes, just now looked at that. ICON seemed to do really well with the weekend storm, maybe it's on to something. It actually dropped temps in the Catawba Valley area about 4-5 degrees from 6z.
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Yeah i think 1034 can get it done, especially if it would happen to drop on in to Western NY or Western PA around that time. I like the look of the reinforcing highs building into the Midwest as well. Only time will tell but I could definitely see a few more degrees as the models tend to struggle with this dense air mass and should correct more as we get into tomorrow and Wednesday. I really like the Sun-Tuesday timeframe, I believe we could see some major CAD sinking exceptionally far south.
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Wouldn't take much adjustment to make that map look a little better. I think this time frame will trend colder for sure so we shall see.
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Hrrr, did great with showing this band.
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I measure 2.75" in Newton last night then we had a band of sleet and drizzle once we lost the best precip and lift. Probably good 1.5" after compaction and melting.
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Yeah me too, heavier returns on the radar is falling as all snow here, but the lighter returns are drizzle/sleet mix.
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Back to moderate snow here.
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Sleet/snow mix in Newton around 2"-2.25" in the grass, neighborhood roads are covered.
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3Z Hrrr picking up on the second batch of moisture bringing wintry precip back into the area by morning.
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Looks like you will get some good totals over the next few hours. Great rates here too, we went solid snow about 9:15 maybe have 1.25-.1.5"
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Heavy returns blowing up near Marion on the radar.
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Really happy so far! Hrr did a good job at picking up this heavier band over the Catawba Valley.
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Roads are becoming snow covered in Newton. 32.1/31
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Heavy s ow falling in Newton! Temp 35 on the car.
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Snow mixing in now in Newton.
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Sounding for hickory from hrr in the heaviest precip, is this an all snow sounding or more sleet?
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improvements on RGEM for foothills and NW Piedmont.
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Here was 12z for comparison, did tick nw some but manly the band just produced heavier rates on this run and was more wide spread.
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13z hrr
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Of course it's going to change, no one here has the answers to what the upcoming pattern will bring. At this point following the ensembles is the way to go, but that will drive you crazy because it seems like the GFS and Euro always do the opposite of each other lol. I am right there with you it's coming, oh it will be here, and the next thing you know we are still looking 7- 10 days out.
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Good trends on 06 GEFS with more wedging later next week.
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The 12z brought in a good thump.
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Better run for Catawba and Alexander counties.
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The footprint of snow lines up pretty well when comparing the NAM and RGEM. The Nam is more robost with the snow totals from N.NC through VA. One big difference is the RGEM is showing heavier totals in the upstate. That heavier totals in the upstate also line up with the greater accumulations that were show on the RAP model earlier.
