Steady snow here with dendrites growing larger since 10 minutes ago. Coated sidewalks instantly. Looks like this first band will continue drifting North so hoping the radar fills in more southwest of here.
For the crazy SREF watchers, going to get a LOL worthy run at 21z. Going to be interesting if by some miracle the American models end up being correct about a stronger more NW storm.
I'm sure some of you have seen, but great thread on forecasting.
I've seen several great threads by the Lincoln,IL Twitter account this week so props to them!
Looks like the orientation of the trailing energy that comes onshore will make or break the storm. Looks like that won't make it to the NW until 24-36 hours from now.
Who's now excited to track this Arctic clipper on Christmas that will somehow end up missing the region all together or trend downwards into flurries!?
As expected, GEFS and GFS suck and the latest GEFS (mean snowfall) has brought a decent snow back to Illinois. Some duds in the mix as well as crazy totals.
Everytime I see the GFS or other models backing the low west over Lake Michigan it reminds me of mesolows, except we might be dealing with a sub 980 mb low. Oof.