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Chicago916

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Everything posted by Chicago916

  1. Soooo. We realistically are still too north for the weekend system right? Kinda seems like a northern feature has sped up and is now phasing with the ejected cutoff and pumping up the SE ridge enough to just about get precipitation up this way? Would love an expert's opinion here lol
  2. Comparing the GFS to all other models for this upcoming storm might be the worst gap I've ever seen. We really need to retire it and invest more into our modeling here ... Oof. Unless it wins a coup and is correct but doubt it.
  3. As much as I somehow want the weekend storm to trend positively up this way, I'd rather BAM be wrong. I guess we'll see.
  4. Shame it's forecasted to be cloudy and dangerously cold since there's a great northern lights opportunity tonight.
  5. Yeah. It's the 2nd worst verification score for medium range models I think. Definitely not believing it's output this model run, but I guess it does show probably the best outcome up here because I doubt anything can overcome high pressure as strong as what's progged.
  6. Verbatim, if something like the latest Canadian happens, wouldn't the thermodynamics for lake effect be nuclear given the Arctic air mass? Doubt that happens though but the timing of the cold air could allow for that.
  7. For those that know, the Ragu programmatic ad at the bottom of Pivotalweather will be the death of me.
  8. Wednesday/Thursday clipper uptrend. Or do we not care cuz it's not a big dog?
  9. "the week before Groundhogs day IV storm" thread. Too soon for it though. That would be a ton of ice given the cold air mass prior.
  10. Definitely not zzzzz. Next week looks interesting for sure. High potential. (Peaks at latest gfs model lol is that a triple phaser?)
  11. Now if we can get another arctic impulse to perfectly hit at let's say Sunday at 7pm that would be great.
  12. Much like the November event, mostly graupel snow by me
  13. Definitely some snow opportunities coming up. Clippers and/or lake effect. Beats CAD any day
  14. At least we'll get one or two UKIE runs that shows 36 inches into Chicago when in the end we just get lake mood flakes
  15. Welcome to thread the needle season (not expecting any snow still)
  16. Getting close to having a decent snow plus lake ehancement in NIL this weekend.
  17. In Mequon and it's mod-heavy snow with decent sized dendrites. Definitely getting heavier and windier.
  18. Doesn't mean much, but seems like next week's storm has continued to trend north. Looks like better spacing with this weekends storm. Doesn't look particularly strong tho but something to watch.
  19. Was gonna say I was thankful to be in Milwaukee this weekend, but even that could be to far south
  20. Sure looks like a great opportunity to see the northern lights tomorrow https://x.com/NWSSWPC/status/1988294702827802778?t=oyTOXhCmE28A0p76D7te4w&s=09
  21. Looks like only 2" or so in Avondale lol and snow quality is terrible. Almost like most of the snow is graupel
  22. Some really high DBZ coming ashore now. Likely graupel/hail and more thunder to come
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