Yeah. It's the 2nd worst verification score for medium range models I think. Definitely not believing it's output this model run, but I guess it does show probably the best outcome up here because I doubt anything can overcome high pressure as strong as what's progged.
Verbatim, if something like the latest Canadian happens, wouldn't the thermodynamics for lake effect be nuclear given the Arctic air mass? Doubt that happens though but the timing of the cold air could allow for that.
Doesn't mean much, but seems like next week's storm has continued to trend north. Looks like better spacing with this weekends storm. Doesn't look particularly strong tho but something to watch.
That more or less seems like what LOT just hinted at on Twitter too. Less likely there will be "slight break before a 2nd band". Seems to imply this will be the sole band now. Definitely would boost odds of some higher totals.
Can't remember seeing "snow and a chance of thunderstorms" in a p&c before. Was laughing thinking about nadocast outlining the shore during the event in a forecast, but I'm sure waterspouts are filtered out from forecasts.
Definitely seems like today's 12z hi rez models are highlighting the swing of the LE into the IL side for a little. Liking trends, but won't expect it until we see the band on radar. Would be hilarious if the meso low pushes the snow too far west and leaves a gap.