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Chicago916

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Everything posted by Chicago916

  1. Chicago916
    Looks like the past consecutive 5 GFS op runs have slowly shifted west towards the Euro...
  2. Chicago916
    GEFS showing quite a few cutters that would make everyone happy. Why even pay attention to the OP runs at this range?
  3. Chicago916
    If it's any consolation if the Christmas week storm ends up on the east coast, could see a decent lake effect chance on the Chicago side of the lake?
  4. Chicago916
    I'll take the 15Z Rap and the Kool-aid it's sipping. Nevertheless, looking more likely that it'll at least thump for a little bit.
  5. Chicago916
    Tons of small hail in Avondale with strong winds
  6. Chicago916
    Went from nada to heavy pixie dust near the Metro just now.
  7. Chicago916
    Great time to begin haha
  8. Chicago916
    Purely anecdotal too (didn't look into the moving parts), I don't think the Ukie ever really showed an amped solution with GHDIII ever, so nice to see at least a run with that solution during the 0z run.
  9. Chicago916
    Those radar returns entering Cook and Dupage look juicy
  10. Chicago916
    I'm near ya too! I'm in Avondale myself.
  11. Chicago916
    Someone show the maximum snowfall amount at the end of the HRRR for everyone
  12. Chicago916
    late run 18z HRRR joins the rest of the models in this big time
  13. Chicago916
    How's the HRW FV3 model been? I'm assuming not good with winter events? The weenie in me is binning it with other higher resolution models that are shifting North.
  14. Chicago916
    I could so envision a scenario where Cook gets to 10" plus by getting lucky with the frotogenetic band and then additional lake effect/enhancement while the main storm passes Southeast.
  15. Chicago916
    I saw that haha. I'd love to see that individual member
  16. Chicago916
    And SREF is also still NW. Grasping at straws lol
  17. Chicago916
    I keep remembering this winter one of these forecast originally in NIL and it ended up in southern WI. Not 100% but pretty sure it happened.
  18. Chicago916
    I was talking about the 21Z which is even better and obviously doesn't cover the main event. Plumes are terrible though at long range, so just watching how they trend.
  19. Chicago916
    Tom Skilling would never
  20. Chicago916
    SREF plumes coming in hot for ORD
  21. Chicago916
    Euro ensembles should be very interesting
  22. Chicago916
    And another jump of 11" to 20"+ NW to SE
  23. Chicago916
    Hasn't fully loaded yet, but looks like almost all GFS ensemble members are north of the OP with the overrunning snows?
  24. Chicago916
    Odds we see aircraft sampling of the disturbance in the Pacific given potential large impacts?
  25. Chicago916
    As expected, lots of amped GFS ensemble members
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