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Chicago916

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Everything posted by Chicago916

  1. Chicago916
    CMC has swapped with the GFS and has moved north with the big storm. As long as it doesn't go poof the next few days we should all be happy.
  2. Chicago916
    Someone wake RC up, he needs to replace his saved photos with the latest Euro lmao
  3. Chicago916
    Interesting that we have a moderate risk of heavy snow already prior to tonight's model runs.
  4. Chicago916
    Completely hypothetical... But if some location ever did receive 4 feet of snow in 36 hours, how high could a drift get? Real question for the pros though, how well can our weather models forecast an event on the leading edge of an arctic blast like what is shown? What do analogs show? The last one last year also was forecasting a decent snow at longer lead times (there were still blizzard warnings), but we mostly got an inch of dust with strong winds.
  5. Chicago916
    Since when did GFS 360hr fantasy blizzards show up at half lead time? Lmao
  6. Chicago916
    Tonight's GFS might make up for a boring last few winters.
  7. Chicago916
    Imagine what the DGEX would've been doing with this storm... Glad that was retired years and years ago tho. Not this storm but radar looking good for a DAB tonight. Some decent banding.
  8. Chicago916
    Models trending this weekend's Northeast snow event a little snowier in the Midwest with the first piece of energy, now showing a small accumulation. Almost looks like the energy is more delayed in handing off to the coastal low. Would think the longer that's delayed the more snow that could be squeezed out in the Midwest? That should have some implications on thermals for the subsequent storm I would think.
  9. Chicago916
    The trends on the Northeast storm have me on edge wrt this storm, but both of the "storms" can't go poof like old times can they... I guess we'll see if past winter trends continue. Nice to see the CMC join the GFS on approximate track. Probably shouldn't pay close attention until a few days from now anyways.
  10. Chicago916
    Big dog on the 18z GFS. Who's going to make the channel for it? Lol
  11. Chicago916
    12z EPS seems to still look fine based on mean QPF and low track. Not worth putting much stock into a single run at this point anyways.
  12. Chicago916
    I've still got a feeling the first storm this weekend trends more NW to brush NIL with some moderate snows. That'll then have an effect on larger storm afterwards I would think?
  13. Chicago916
    It would be funny if it verified, but is the CMC trying to resolve a Mesolow over Lake Michigan due to the ULL next Friday? Would be a funny way to transition from near 60F Christmas to 6"+ snow cover on NYE.
  14. Chicago916
    Serious question. What will happen to a MCS (if and when it congeals and moves into NIL) as it barrels into the lake breeze?
  15. Chicago916
    Lake breeze now evident along with the outflow. Once these collide... Boom.
  16. Chicago916
    North moving boundary extremely evident on satellite
  17. Chicago916
    Not sure how well Nadocast does for wind, but definitely has that Derecho look for tomorrow.
  18. Chicago916
    Inb4 Northern Illinois supercells this afternoon.
  19. Chicago916
    And round 2 to follow still in Southeast Minnesota?
  20. Chicago916
    Latest 12z HRDPS showing a look similar to the Chicago double Derecho on June 30, 2014 except further east https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/event.php?date=20140630
  21. Chicago916
    Repeat of today this Friday? Looks interesting at least
  22. Chicago916
    Sirens just started in the city
  23. Chicago916
    Well a lot happened since my post this morning. Sheesh. Finally seeing filtered sunshine downtown Chicago.
  24. Chicago916
    If the MCS dies quicker, still decent potential for severe in NIL, but looks very conditional. 12Z HRRR for example. Will need to watch incoming CAMs to see if they follow, and observations.
  25. Chicago916
    KORD office was riding the HRDPS and it looks like it performed very well with this
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