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Chicago916
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Everything posted by Chicago916
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Tons of hail in Buffalo Grove right now. Ground is fully covered.
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Long range 03z Rap popping some PDS Tor soundings in Chicago Wednesday morning. Something to monitor
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Very late day 2 convective outlook.
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Would be great if the RRFS comes back online soon in time for the upcoming severe event. Seems to be offline still since Friday
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GFS trending in the direction to add to those
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Has back to back high risks occured at this latitude within 5 days of one another before?
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With how fast these storms are, that's a good idea.
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Latest NWS Chicago update says you might be able to even sit tight in Naperville now that round 1 is more likely to be surface based FYI
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Funny that a large blob of clouds is over the northern High Risk zone. That isn't going to affect the instability there?
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Incoming High Risk for Western Illinois. Wow
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Spotty sun poking through in the Chicago area now too.
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I know weather models were discussed a couple weeks back. Looks like the RRFS model has been added to Pivotal Weather, so should be interesting to see how well it does with the next couple of severe weather events. And just checked out it's 0z run, this won't be useful at all haha
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March 24-25 Palm Killer (Snow Event)
Chicago916 replied to hardypalmguy's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Sneaky 2nd low pressure system the following Monday now or a mirage? -
Another low pressure system cutting right through Chicago end of this week. Seems like that was the dominant storm track this Winter. Could lead to interesting severe weather as we enter Spring?
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Best snow of the entire event in the city right now
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With a mean like that, there must be some crazy, impossible totals on some of the ensemble members through NE IL.
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Somebody needs to put down the NAM. Completely useless model.
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Going to be the shortest WSW to nada ever in the metro? Seems like it.
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Meanwhile the Ukie doesn't even have any precipitation in Chicago and points North
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The context of that NAM run with the gorgeous weather today is hilarious. Is the Chicago climate now one of Texas?
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Is there a particular model of choice that is best at depicting dynamic cooling?
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Um what is the EURO smoking... I thought it used to be king?
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To this point (borrowing from someone way more knowledgeable than I, who I have followed for years) https://twitter.com/blizzardof96/status/1630565498705309697?t=dvCYHzAJ5mHNQKUYQtNyfA&s=19
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Why all the pessimism? I would think being in the crosshairs on the gefs, cmce, eps and having the NAM as a NW outlier (as always) would be great for NIL?
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Crazy amount of convection shown on the 0z Icon. If any of these solutions come to fruition you have to assume thundersnow and thundersleet in the cold sector.
