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Chicago916

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Everything posted by Chicago916

  1. Chicago916
    I'm sure some of you have seen, but great thread on forecasting. I've seen several great threads by the Lincoln,IL Twitter account this week so props to them!
  2. Chicago916
    Looks like the orientation of the trailing energy that comes onshore will make or break the storm. Looks like that won't make it to the NW until 24-36 hours from now.
  3. Chicago916
    Long range NAM gonna NAM? Or some good trending for once?
  4. Chicago916
    Looks like the energy for this storm didn't quite make it to land prior to 12z runs but might just in time for 18z if that changes anything.
  5. Chicago916
    GFS and EURO trend of digging deeper in the SW and more positive tilt as it ejects is no bueno for a more north path.
  6. Chicago916
    Despite the unfavorable GFS OP, the GFS ensemble members look fairly similar at least for now
  7. Chicago916
    This storm is doomed. Sunday will outperform this one.
  8. Chicago916
    Maybe if we don't create a thread for the potential storm next week it'll trend positively
  9. Chicago916
    Given the overall above average temperatures and above freezing temperatures, I'm curious how the Great Lakes ice cover compares to other years.
  10. Chicago916
    Another foot with next week's storm in MSP and this is accomplished fairly quickly.
  11. Chicago916
    Who's first objectives upon posting in a weather forum are to first praise the GFS and deny climate change.... Amazing.
  12. Chicago916
    We're definitely going to get a perfect low track next week for a snowstorm without any cold air (for Chicago)
  13. Chicago916
    Who's now excited to track this Arctic clipper on Christmas that will somehow end up missing the region all together or trend downwards into flurries!?
  14. Chicago916
    Have a feeling we're about to get "that" NAM run for Chicago. Based on the SREF.
  15. Chicago916
    Weenies should take a peak at the latest 15Z SREF for hope. Lots of sub 980 members while in Northern Indiana still lol
  16. Chicago916
    I'm not a MET but I have to think the GFS is undoing the precipitation to the west of a rapidly strengthening low?
  17. Chicago916
    As expected, GEFS and GFS suck and the latest GEFS (mean snowfall) has brought a decent snow back to Illinois. Some duds in the mix as well as crazy totals.
  18. Chicago916
    Everytime I see the GFS or other models backing the low west over Lake Michigan it reminds me of mesolows, except we might be dealing with a sub 980 mb low. Oof.
  19. Chicago916
    At hour 54 on the GFS it looks like it's now seeing some stronger energy in NM that looked to be on the GEM and Euro all along.
  20. Chicago916
    Not sure if they do them since the pandemic, but with the holiday travel next week, would the NOAA try to add extra aircraft sampling for this storm?
  21. Chicago916
    Insane pressure drop on that run. Sheesh. No matter where this thing goes, going to see some dangerous wind-chills on the backside.
  22. Chicago916
    The NAM is gonna break this site once in range
  23. Chicago916
    When they were riding the GFS the past few days despite 0 continuity was comical too
  24. Chicago916
    Might be the wrong place for this banter, but lmao at BAM weather so deadset on an easterly track of the storm. I guess we'll know soon enough, just find it funny.
  25. Chicago916
    No rain GIFs after seeing a couple GEFS members showing rain?
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