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Chicago916

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Everything posted by Chicago916

  1. Chicago916
    Very OT, but in Costa Rica right now and there was much talk about the recent Arctic front going through here in some capacity. Temperatures below 70F for highs so locals were "freezing". Interesting additional context to the arctic cold far reaching just our part of the continent.
  2. Chicago916
    Weird to be getting missed by LE to the west lol
  3. Chicago916
    Idk.. to me too much hopium. But I'm obviously rooting for the higher end outcome.
  4. Chicago916
    Snow only lasted 30 minutes here lol the WSW was upgraded for that? Maybe should've been a Snow Squall Warning instead?
  5. Chicago916
    Already snowing here yet reflectivity not impressive
  6. Chicago916
    3km NAM is useless here and barely paints any QPF anywhere, even in NW Indiana which is now under a WSW. HRRR isn't worth looking at either at extended range. I wish trends were good though
  7. Chicago916
    What trends? Not seeing anything positive for the IL side tbh
  8. Chicago916
    Ironically I was in Whistler the end of December and they actually had snow the week I was there and enough of it with high winds to cause problems. Still better off than having no snow.
  9. Chicago916
    Good luck to Nadocast in coding all of that in
  10. Chicago916
    Welp the lake effect is no longer in the room with us. Barely any modeled anymore.
  11. Chicago916
    We're all owed at least one run with a peak of 30in somewhere despite not being possible.
  12. Chicago916
    Pretty sure there's ice there now since the ice shelf has expanded with the cold. Time 2 get skiing or snowshoeing? Jeb walk on the ice shelf incoming
  13. Chicago916
    If the RRFS model run verifies, we riot
  14. Chicago916
    Sorry for opening this debate can of worms lmao. Just curious. I miss the days of huge cutters (either favorable tracks for the Great lakes or cutting west and giving us some warmth). Feels like there's a severe lack of storms from colorado to the Mississippi River lately.
  15. Chicago916
    That's all fair, but the pattern itself technically provides the highest ceiling for big dogs on the East Coast? Whether they occur or not is the question or whether they peak offshore. Just not seeing anything that would pull this pattern into one favoring more inland tracks or cutters like panhandle lows or colorado lows.
  16. Chicago916
    Excuse any of my ignorance but how is this pattern not an "east coast pattern"? Seems like we're stuck in a NW flow in the middle of the country now and only the East Coast can get lucky when the Sub tropical jet wants to cooperate? So clippers for us and occasional favorable flow for LE (soon to end with lakes freezing though?) Not a good look out West with so much ridging and lack of meaningful mountain snows. Could equate to drought concerns there into Summer without runoff?
  17. Chicago916
    So we do this LE again end of week? Looks favorable this side of the lake again interestingly
  18. Chicago916
    Super cool https://x.com/i/status/2015442810598531536
  19. Chicago916
    Probably a tough case pinning down ratios too right? We were definitely at 5:1 or so at the onset (pixie dust) but significantly higher now in LE. Not sure Kuchara for that matter was showing up to 40:1 regardless of qpf? Looks like Ukie at 12z yesterday had ~ .41 qpf around ORD. So 20:1 full event average would be 8in system total. Not too shabby.
  20. Chicago916
    Hell of an overachiever for MKE right? Would think they originally had low accumulations in the forecast. Looks like the main LE band is finally shifting south from there.
  21. Chicago916
    Whiteout conditions! Heaviest all winter with fluffy dendrites. Hoping the primary low hangs on longer to keep the NE flow going later. Also looks like the upper trough is aiding in redeveloping snow to the southwest.
  22. Chicago916
    Nothing here and I'm right next door lmao in 5 minutes that'll change
  23. Chicago916
    Interesting the different shapes to lake effect/lake enhancement. Almost like there's fingers of lake enhanced snow so between the fingers there's virtually no snow.
  24. Chicago916
    4-5 inches and still cranking! Should get to 6 with it still snowing and the main LE band still north of here!
  25. Chicago916
    Gotta enjoy the single season of Wagler while we have it.
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