Benefits of an Arctic air mass being it won't take much QPF to result in accumulating snows, and the lake will now be beneficial vs. detrimental to those lakeside.
Also only an in or so in Avondale. Not very accurate map. On second look this is showing accumulation and not current snow depth, so it might be correct given all the melting and compaction.
Might be grasping at straws, but some good trends for the eastern sub if this continues. Could also just end up as a nor'easter and stop trending west.
End of the 03z HRRR is wild. Transfer of energy from one sub-980 Low to another. Like a nor'easter in the Midwest. Secondary Low causes temperatures to crash.
If the NAM and long range HRRR and RAP are the only models not showing high totals then that's a good thing. Looks like globals and even HRDPS and FV3 really hammering most of NIL with heavy snow.
Anyone catch Tom Skilling mention this yet? One of my favorite memories was him discussing the GHD blizzard as soon as the EURO starting showing it a long ways out.
Not to take away from the possible snow, but the cold forecast after this storm looks really impressive. GFS shows below 0 wind chills from 1-13-24 through the end its run...
Was gonna comment how confused I was reading that. Seems like things trended wetter and maybe snowier across much of the area. I thought 6:1 ratios were expected all along.