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Chicago916

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Everything posted by Chicago916

  1. At hour 54 on the GFS it looks like it's now seeing some stronger energy in NM that looked to be on the GEM and Euro all along.
  2. Not sure if they do them since the pandemic, but with the holiday travel next week, would the NOAA try to add extra aircraft sampling for this storm?
  3. Insane pressure drop on that run. Sheesh. No matter where this thing goes, going to see some dangerous wind-chills on the backside.
  4. When they were riding the GFS the past few days despite 0 continuity was comical too
  5. Might be the wrong place for this banter, but lmao at BAM weather so deadset on an easterly track of the storm. I guess we'll know soon enough, just find it funny.
  6. No rain GIFs after seeing a couple GEFS members showing rain?
  7. Looks like the past consecutive 5 GFS op runs have slowly shifted west towards the Euro...
  8. GEFS showing quite a few cutters that would make everyone happy. Why even pay attention to the OP runs at this range?
  9. If it's any consolation if the Christmas week storm ends up on the east coast, could see a decent lake effect chance on the Chicago side of the lake?
  10. I'll take the 15Z Rap and the Kool-aid it's sipping. Nevertheless, looking more likely that it'll at least thump for a little bit.
  11. Tons of small hail in Avondale with strong winds
  12. Went from nada to heavy pixie dust near the Metro just now.
  13. Purely anecdotal too (didn't look into the moving parts), I don't think the Ukie ever really showed an amped solution with GHDIII ever, so nice to see at least a run with that solution during the 0z run.
  14. Those radar returns entering Cook and Dupage look juicy
  15. I'm near ya too! I'm in Avondale myself.
  16. Someone show the maximum snowfall amount at the end of the HRRR for everyone
  17. late run 18z HRRR joins the rest of the models in this big time
  18. How's the HRW FV3 model been? I'm assuming not good with winter events? The weenie in me is binning it with other higher resolution models that are shifting North.
  19. I could so envision a scenario where Cook gets to 10" plus by getting lucky with the frotogenetic band and then additional lake effect/enhancement while the main storm passes Southeast.
  20. I saw that haha. I'd love to see that individual member
  21. And SREF is also still NW. Grasping at straws lol
  22. I keep remembering this winter one of these forecast originally in NIL and it ended up in southern WI. Not 100% but pretty sure it happened.
  23. I was talking about the 21Z which is even better and obviously doesn't cover the main event. Plumes are terrible though at long range, so just watching how they trend.
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