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Chicago916

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Everything posted by Chicago916

  1. Chicago916
    End of the 03z HRRR is wild. Transfer of energy from one sub-980 Low to another. Like a nor'easter in the Midwest. Secondary Low causes temperatures to crash.
  2. Chicago916
    If the NAM and long range HRRR and RAP are the only models not showing high totals then that's a good thing. Looks like globals and even HRDPS and FV3 really hammering most of NIL with heavy snow.
  3. Chicago916
    Screw the NAM when we have the FV3. This is more like it lol is it showing dynamic cooling as the low deepens or what?
  4. Chicago916
    Going to be a fun time for anyone commuting from the burbs back to the city for the evening rush. Glad I'm not one of them.
  5. Chicago916
    Just puking snow by me right now.
  6. Chicago916
    If anyone wants a laugh, check the early SREF spread in snow totals ... 1in to 20in and still snowing possibly.
  7. Chicago916
    0 snow here in Avondale and caught a maintenance guy at my place salting anyways
  8. Chicago916
    Anyone catch Tom Skilling mention this yet? One of my favorite memories was him discussing the GHD blizzard as soon as the EURO starting showing it a long ways out.
  9. Chicago916
    Bet we now see a shared EURO snow map with 30+ inches total post weekend storm now. 30 and some lmao
  10. Chicago916
    Not to take away from the possible snow, but the cold forecast after this storm looks really impressive. GFS shows below 0 wind chills from 1-13-24 through the end its run...
  11. Chicago916
    Looks like a full fetch along the lake towards NE Illinois. Not gonna bother looking into thermals at this range tho.
  12. Chicago916
    Ukie said hold my beer
  13. Chicago916
    Was gonna comment how confused I was reading that. Seems like things trended wetter and maybe snowier across much of the area. I thought 6:1 ratios were expected all along.
  14. Chicago916
    With SREF shifting more south I bet the 0z NAM comes up huge for NIL and SE Wisconsin
  15. Chicago916
    Quite the friendly trend for NIL
  16. Chicago916
    And I believe the Ukie has been south too.
  17. Chicago916
    NAM says shift the WSW southeast in Illinois. Maybe NAM is just being NAM though but some other CAMs also are trending this way. Fingers crossed in the city.
  18. Chicago916
    Regardless, good to see the continuing trend on global, regional, and mesoscale models. I doubt the globals will handle the rapidly deepening and occluding of the Low very well which will factor in where the final deformation axis resides
  19. Chicago916
    We'll have to wait and see how these two storms this week turn out but wow at the modeling a week plus out showing the possible solution to both storms and ensembles mostly staying the course for both storms. Models have really come a long way.
  20. Chicago916
    Looking like this storm will cause quite the severe outbreak and high winds to the south and east. I'm thinking there will be some surprises with the cold sector due to the excess rain and storms in the warm sector. Would not want to be LOT having to make the call based on the potential cutoff potential if the two waves of precipitation manage to overlap or completely miss some counties.
  21. Chicago916
    Two storm threads at once? What year is it?
  22. Chicago916
    Not bad consistency for a week away.
  23. Chicago916
    Not a bad look on the EPS and CMCE. Shows the wide range in outcomes
  24. Chicago916
    CMC has swapped with the GFS and has moved north with the big storm. As long as it doesn't go poof the next few days we should all be happy.
  25. Chicago916
    Someone wake RC up, he needs to replace his saved photos with the latest Euro lmao
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