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Chicago916

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Everything posted by Chicago916

  1. Chicago916
    Maybe at least a miss South will lead to some significant lake effect snow in NE IL as seen on in the Euro already and now seen on the Canadian model? Would be a nice consolation prize. Hate to have to rely on that though.
  2. Chicago916
    Were the latest European and Canadian ensembles showing an improvement the nudge needed to start this?
  3. Chicago916
    Seems like the last couple runs of the GEFS are starting to hint at some minor accumulations now. Decent accumulations in MI.
  4. Chicago916
    It has no other model support but enjoying the hi-res models' unrealistic snow profiled runs for the NYE storm
  5. Chicago916
    Definitely some better trends lately for a snowy next couple of weeks? Seems like the mean trough position has shifted slightly west putting the GL and Midwest into a more favorable position. I'm not putting much faith in a large storm before the Arctic blast though, too much ptsd from the last time we saw that in modeling and got blizzard warnings for a glorified cold front. We'll see though, tons of moving parts.
  6. Chicago916
    Odds the pattern change brings Cutters west of our region, followed by Northeast storms and we're left in the dust?
  7. Chicago916
    Better odds of thunderstorms?
  8. Chicago916
    All jokes aside the trend is still good for the late week clipper. With some kind of lake enhancement, maybe someone in WI or IL will get 3"+... I guess some will take it before the huge torch and given how un-wintry things have been. Would be nice to even see fantasy big dogs again in models.
  9. Chicago916
    Funny to see the Wednesday trough keep trending West and slightly more negative. Too late for most of our Sub for a thread the needle on that system though. Maybe you guys in Ohio can somewhat cash in.
  10. Chicago916
    Low resolution caveats apply, but seems like some hints at LE on the Illinois side even with a miss South.
  11. Chicago916
    Best I could do from my neck of the woods with light pollution during that substorm. Looks better if I fully saturate it lol
  12. Chicago916
    I wonder if Helene's quick forward speed will limit cold upwelling waters in the Gulf in case another storm moves in on its heels.
  13. Chicago916
    This reminds me of a setup a few years back (I think) where the downtown area eventually went under a Tornado warning for an isolated right mover. Never dropped one though. This one! https://www.weather.gov/lot/2022jun13
  14. Chicago916
    Quite the Supercell in McHenry County IL. Wonder if we'll get some Lake Breeze shenanigans.
  15. Chicago916
    Possible tornados in WI not even under a 2% risk.
  16. Chicago916
    Tailend of that line near Rockford going to do funny business as it moves east?
  17. Chicago916
    A lot more CAMs than HRRR doing that now. I feel like anecdotally that always happens and the squall will actually survive past the Lake.
  18. Chicago916
    Looks like another shot for more photos tonight with much clearer skies. Going to actually charge my camera this time lol
  19. Chicago916
    Possible low topped supers Tuesday could be fun. Knowing IL is the new tornado capital wouldn't be shocked to see a couple
  20. Chicago916
    Tis the season of Spring where warm fronts seemingly get stuck pushing north of the south tip of Lake Michigan.
  21. Chicago916
    Peeps in Southern WI going to enjoy the last bout of snow for the season on Friday? Glad that it'll pass North of here at least...
  22. Chicago916
    Hints on some of the CAMS of the lake effect band shifting west for a little bit towards Cook.
  23. Chicago916
    Benefits of an Arctic air mass being it won't take much QPF to result in accumulating snows, and the lake will now be beneficial vs. detrimental to those lakeside.
  24. Chicago916
    And now models trying to show lake effect action afterwards
  25. Chicago916
    Thursday and Friday look interesting for some snow? Lake enhancement/effect possible? Higher ratio snow without mixing issues.
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