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Northof78

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Everything posted by Northof78

  1. I like that the 'screw/transition' zone looks to set up west of the area for the most part, now just a matter of how far west the heaviest bands get from the coastal
  2. Nice, it seems that is make or break with the coastal low for most of N/C NJ, NYC, and LI, western low will be basically gone by the time it gets here.
  3. https://www.facebook.com/bikales/videos/875320736466696 Downtown Millburn is completely underwater and every downtown business is damaged/destroyed
  4. Historic flooding in Millburn, NJ Essex County right now, entire downtown underwater, Main Street and surrounding neighborhoods underwater, water entering buildings on Main St.
  5. Lots of rain here, stuck in the mod/heavy rain band all day...and a good amount last night as well, thinking 4-7” is possible when all is done north of 78 in NJ
  6. models will flip and flop, and could be a flop, but give me fresh cold air, Neg NAO, and some juiced disturbances in March, and I’ll take my chances for something good...
  7. Strong NAO building in with cold air pressing, while a storm attempts to come up the coast produce potential for a significant winter storm for parts of the area 12Z GFS
  8. At work in Bergen, but looking at home camera looks to be about 2" - 3" and snowing heavily...
  9. Looks good for this storm, trending in right direction, now with 2-4” forecasted...
  10. Looking at all models and the current cold, but ‘staling’ airmass, 2-4” (maybe one stray 5” report in higher elevations) most of Morris, Sussex, W Passaic, N Somerset, Warren, N Hunterdon, 1-3” W Essex, W Union, S/C Somerset, most of Bergen, C-1” NYC and all other areas
  11. Was this February everyone #1 February over the past 20-30 years? Still a little to go, with likely full coverage wall to wall with snowcover, a 16” -30” HECS, 1-2 SECS, and 1-2 smaller storms...it’s up there
  12. Probably about 0.5” new today, for about 4” for this storm total....41” for the season; a total of 29 days season snowcover; 20 consecutive days now
  13. Looks like for the NYC Metro 2-4" from round 1 and then maybe another 1-3" over the next 18 hours for a total of 4"-7" or so. But in C & C/S NJ, they could be looking for a storm total of around a foot, with 8-10" alone from round 1.
  14. Yes, this will bust high for you and possibly others in NJ
  15. Looking at radar, I would say somewhere in NJ sees 6-8” from wave 1 alone...very impressive look all the way back to WV and SW
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