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Everything posted by Northof78
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Lots of rain here, stuck in the mod/heavy rain band all day...and a good amount last night as well, thinking 4-7” is possible when all is done north of 78 in NJ
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Possible Major Winter Storm/Coastal 3/6 - 3/8
Northof78 replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
models will flip and flop, and could be a flop, but give me fresh cold air, Neg NAO, and some juiced disturbances in March, and I’ll take my chances for something good... -
Strong NAO building in with cold air pressing, while a storm attempts to come up the coast produce potential for a significant winter storm for parts of the area 12Z GFS
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OBS and nowcast 10A-5P both Mon and Tue 2/22-23
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
At work in Bergen, but looking at home camera looks to be about 2" - 3" and snowing heavily... -
OBS and nowcast 10A-5P both Mon and Tue 2/22-23
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks good for this storm, trending in right direction, now with 2-4” forecasted... -
Looking at all models and the current cold, but ‘staling’ airmass, 2-4” (maybe one stray 5” report in higher elevations) most of Morris, Sussex, W Passaic, N Somerset, Warren, N Hunterdon, 1-3” W Essex, W Union, S/C Somerset, most of Bergen, C-1” NYC and all other areas
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Was this February everyone #1 February over the past 20-30 years? Still a little to go, with likely full coverage wall to wall with snowcover, a 16” -30” HECS, 1-2 SECS, and 1-2 smaller storms...it’s up there
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OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Probably about 0.5” new today, for about 4” for this storm total....41” for the season; a total of 29 days season snowcover; 20 consecutive days now -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Very light snow falling -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like for the NYC Metro 2-4" from round 1 and then maybe another 1-3" over the next 18 hours for a total of 4"-7" or so. But in C & C/S NJ, they could be looking for a storm total of around a foot, with 8-10" alone from round 1. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yes, this will bust high for you and possibly others in NJ -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looking at radar, I would say somewhere in NJ sees 6-8” from wave 1 alone...very impressive look all the way back to WV and SW -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Small flakes but very dense snow, moderate overall, already a quick coating/0.25” OTG -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Light snow has started here... -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
New nam back to an inch of total QPF for most of the region with both waves, and a nice hit from wave 1 alone -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Warnings up for most of PHL zones....
