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Ephesians2

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Everything posted by Ephesians2

  1. We aren't really losing the big storms, just the light and moderate ones. That seems like the real problem. There have been much larger intervals without an 18"+ or 12"+ storm. https://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter_storm-pr
  2. https://x.com/PaulRoundy1/status/1887466049462739029
  3. All rain down here at 33 degrees, but just woke up to some LOUD thunder and lightning.
  4. https://x.com/webberweather/status/1880316868277465119
  5. ICON is a quick hitting 2-4" for Central VA. South of 12z.
  6. Unfortunately I think this is the type of event that tends to trend northwest. But maybe this year is an exception.
  7. I've had steady accumulating light snow even under the bad returns now that the column is saturated. 1.25" in Lynchburg.
  8. Steady light snow in Lynchburg for about the past hour and a half. Probably about 0.5" on the ground.
  9. Short range models have been reducing totals for our area most of today, unfortunately. Still hope I can get 3 inches out of it.
  10. wasn't that what the GFS was doing to this weekend's storm at this range?
  11. but if the GFS is right, it'll be "suppressed" (good for me), not flip to rain, which is what you said if I recall correctly
  12. https://x.com/ManleyWeather/status/1876247084225183825
  13. City of Lynchburg, VA 01/05/2025 - 2.5" snow + sleet
  14. Temps at 30-31 and heavy precip limited ice accretion overnight - probably about 0.25" of ZR on top of what was (prior to compaction) more or less 3" of snow and sleet. Looks pretty though.
  15. Cleared off the snow board -- 2.25" in Lynchburg before the flip to sleet. It'll be interesting to see how much pure sleet I get overnight.
  16. Does anyone have total sleet and freezing rain maps for the HRRR?
  17. Flipped to sleet in Lynchburg. Some of the short range models are showing two inches of sleet here.
  18. mixing with sleet under lighter returns but still 50/50 snow/sleet.
  19. Rates and flake size picking up in Lynchburg. About 2" on the ground.
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