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Ed, snow and hurricane fan

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Everything posted by Ed, snow and hurricane fan

  1. First week of January might be interesting in the ArkLaTex. GFS Southern Arkansas.
  2. Lows in the teens in Houston will test my palm trees. All looked like they were dead after 2/2021, but most of them made a full recovery. I think GEFS are seeing ocean effect precip, many show precip just offshore Texas/Louisiana in the Gulf, none have it inland. Just offshore that might be OES
  3. Euro has Houston in the upper teens Friday morning with 20 knot winds.
  4. 0Z GFS was an inch of Christmas snow for Houston, 6Z was 6 inches, 12Z, nothing. But I posted ensemble 18 in the Texas thread. Remember, hasn't snowed here in Houston in 5 years. February 2021 was freezing drizzle. At 14° F. We get cold and not snow. Was lurking, the ensemble odds tempted me to post. GFS ensemble mean is still over a tenth of liquid and it should be cold enough Christmas day. So cheer up. Every 5-10 year snow and once a decade hurricane, and otherwise no weather in Houston
  5. Ops have dropped the snow, but over a tenth liquid equivalent in the means and a few decent ensemble members. 18 is my favorite and I am all in on this.
  6. 0Z GFS showed almost a tenth of liquid falling as snow with surface temps just above freezing Christmas morning in Houston. 6Z even happier. Euro and GFS backing off on the cold, mid 20s for Houston is cold but not freakishly so.
  7. I'm quitting my job in a week (I asked for and was given a release from my contract) or I am poor and don't have PPV models. Houston newspaper science writer Matt Lanza implied in a Tweet that the Euro control run had a significant snowstorm from Houston 12/25 and 12/26. If anyone has clown maps of the Euro ensemble control...
  8. GR or Radar Omega people. Euless near 183 or whatever the FTW-DFW-DAL highway is called. TIA. Mom, sisters, brothers, in-laws, etc.
  9. Out in fantasy time, but multiple runs, ~Christmas below freezing 1 to 3 straight days in DFW. Today's has a fantasy range ice storm for Christmas Eve in Houston
  10. Been away almost 40 years, but 76-77, delivering the Daily News in sub-zero temps in Massapequa and the Great South Bay freezing with some driving cars (and I think one or two losing cars) on the ice. Are the really cold Winters in NYC/Long Island becoming more rare?
  11. I like. I've mentioned it before, anything before Christmas in the NYC Metro is a bonus.
  12. Ryan Hall is showing a correlation coefficient near Bassfield and heading towards I-59 between Hattiesburg and Laurel
  13. I recall Jeb as unpopular in the politics forum. Mid Atlantic, IIRC, did walks in 2 inch/hour snow, just because. My parents on Long Island didn't really let me, but visiting Grandma in North Quincy, walks in near zil vis snow, with the MBTA trains arcing and sparking, ah, good times.
  14. Some ensemble support for a Caribbean storm in December. Which would be interesting. But probably won't happen.
  15. I know the pressure was lower than a usual Cat 1, but the Space Coast has a problem if a Cat 1 can cause that much surge.
  16. 85F in Houston area, and warmer inland. That'll make the weekend cold snap feel even worse.
  17. IR suggests partial eye open on the East/Northeast.
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