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Jeff Grann

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Everything posted by Jeff Grann

  1. Jeff Grann
    5-6" in Eastern Orange County in the Hudson Highlands still on 3k.
  2. Jeff Grann
    . 5+ all as snow in Orange Cty is not minimal QPF
  3. Jeff Grann
    You said it was boring there. The Northern end of Lake George gets around 100" a year. My beef is it being boring there. There is a ton of stuff in a short drive from there including civilization with lots of shopping and good restaurants
  4. Jeff Grann
    Lake George with all its surroundings, water sports, skiing, hiking, snowmobile trails for hundreds of miles into the Adirondacks along with lots of restaurants, indoor Waterpark and amusement park is boring? Then you put down Caribou and Oswego as your places? You are an EDP. I lived in Queensbury (Lake George) for 6 years and grew up in Brooklyn and Staten Island... The city was a much more boring place to grow up on a day to day basis then what my kids had to do up in Lake George
  5. Jeff Grann
    Yes. A lot of cloudy nights.
  6. Jeff Grann
    Not saying we will wind up below normal. Again, it's about people bitching "I don't want to put up with another below average season" while looking at recent years where NYC has had mostly above average snow totals (including 1 year of nearly 3 times historical norms) and bitch like we are being cheated if we have a couple of skunk years. It makes zero sense... Almost st as bad as Coastal posters complaining that they didn't get accumulating snow in October when their normal high temp was 57 or so. Childish brooding is all it is
  7. Jeff Grann
    When you came out of a decade where almost all the years were above average to much above average snowfall, what exactly do you expect to happen to reestablish the average?
  8. Jeff Grann
    You are on the road to recovery from SAD (Snow Addiction Disorder)
  9. Jeff Grann
    The track of this storm is fine for the city. The airmass isn't. It's not a big deepener which manufactures it's own cold air thus it's slop down there. There is a reason the city averages less than 30" a year. Any decent Coastal is threading a needle between too tucked in and getting fringed. We have a bit more advantage in the interior with elevation (topography enhancement) and not being next to a warm ocean
  10. Jeff Grann
    Yes like the last one when the storm was shown inland SNJ, the mix line was going to stay South of the city when in reality it made it past Kingston. You need to accept reality or this is not the hobby for you.
  11. Jeff Grann
    Looks like we dry slot up here in Orange shortly.
  12. Jeff Grann
    Yes. Many don't understand its better to have a milder, stormy pattern in January. Yeah you will get skunked especially along the coast but you have a chance for a well timed blockbuster storm that would've been surpressed or never happened at all if the East was overwhelmed with cold dry air at the coldest time of the year
  13. Jeff Grann
    Especially in January.
  14. Jeff Grann
    Yes but there were many skunk years also
  15. Jeff Grann
    He obviously didn't live through the 70s and 80s when this was normal storm wise here
  16. Jeff Grann
    That's not the same Rt. 17. The one you are referring to is a County road that runs N/S parallel to the NYS Thruway from the NJ border to Harriman. There, the highway portion of Rt 17 (now becoming Interstate 86) which runs E/W begins and goes all the way out through the Southern tier of NY towards Lake Erie. I actually live in Cornwall.
  17. Jeff Grann
    Back in the 90s as head of my Precincts Community Policing unit, I'd leave my desk and go walk up the Brooklyn Bridge walkway and sit on a bench in the middle of the East River to watch both snowstorms and thunderstorms come into the city. I'd sit in the snow until my toes got numb then walk back to work. It's the only job where just being there in a uniform I'd doing your job.
  18. Jeff Grann
    When have you ever seen a low hug the coast that far North that resulted in a "brief period of sleet"? As depicted, warm air in the mid levels would fly North way before that frame. Better chance of an ice storm there with the stronger high than snow
  19. Jeff Grann
    It comes inland over SNJ at 1am...You really think that is good for NYC? If so I have a bridge to sell you. LOL
  20. Jeff Grann
    Yes. It has happen and can still happen. But everything has to be perfect this time of year for NYC /coast to get these types of snows. There really is a tight window on December 15th from being fringed and having mixing/changeover. Once you have most models tucking a low along the NJ coast, for people to still disregard the low placement because of clown maps is just pages of teenage wishcasting. Can everything shift SE in next 24 hrs and give the city a big dump? Sure. But until that happens, sticking to the reality instead of begging for the extreme in one's backyard makes the forum much more interesting... Like the New England forum.
  21. Jeff Grann
    Coastal people thinking they are set up for half their yearly normal in Dec when the water is warm and the storm is sitting just off LBI because a GFS clown map says so....
  22. Jeff Grann
    And Santa was spotted by NORAD taking a test run of his sleigh last night.
  23. Jeff Grann
    Climo. You guys watched days of a tucked in low along the NJ coast and believed clown maps showing 14"?It's December, the water is still warm and in my 56 years of living in NYC and now up a few miles North of West Point, I have learned that anything that rides up the coast farther North than extreme SNJ before heading to the benchmark will almost always flip over to sleet/zr/rain East of I95. You are kidding yourself if you think otherwise. Hell, with some of these tucked models the last 24 hrs I am worried about sleet up here at the height of the storm. There is a reason NYC only averages under 30' a year. More often then not, these blockbusters disappoint at the end. Don't start bitching if you get 2-4' unless a Noreaster that was consistently progged to go from the Delmarva to Nantucket suddenly winds up just off LBI. Reality..
  24. Jeff Grann
    It's not months of dry
  25. Jeff Grann
    Fascinating local pattern over here past 3 days. West Point gloomy, socked in with fog and drizzle with the up sloping South wind while at my house 4 miles North, the downsloping wing off a 1200 ft Storm King Mtn caused a sunny to pt cloudy 3 day period. It reminded me at a much smaller scale to what I witnessed climbing Mt Washington.
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