MN Transplant

Huh, interesting Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 414 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026 .A cold front has stalled over the DC metro. Increasing humidity is expected to lead to showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain through this evening. DCZ001-MDZ013-014-504-VAZ053-054-280200- /O.NEW.KLWX.FA.A.0002.260627T2014Z-260628T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- 414 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Washington DC, portions of central Maryland, including the following areas, Anne Arundel, Central and Southeast Montgomery and Prince Georges, and northern Virginia, including the following areas, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria and Fairfax. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Scattered to numerous showers producing heavy rain are anticipated through this evening. Localized rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in 1 to 2 hours, and may lead to rapid rises of water on streams and in poor drainage areas. - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety and preparedness information. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ DHOF

We know the op runs are overdoing it at range, but the AI and Ensemble runs do support near 100. Temps at DCA at 2pm 7/2 through 7/4 AIFS - 99/100/97 AIGFS - 99/101/93 EPS - 101/102/99 GEFS - 102/100/95 CMCE - 102/102/94

Two-day totals via CoCoRahs. Despite this, almost everyone is sub-3" for the month so far.

~1.5" across two days. DCA up to 1.31" for the month.

There’s a tiny stripe from Centerville to Tysons to Silver Spring that managed to get fringed both days.

About an inch from that cell. I’ll still complain if we whiff tomorrow, but not as much.

It is raining and it is glorious

The GFS has joined the HRRR/NAM/RRFS for a decent soak on Tuesday.

Yeah, it really became noticeable yesterday and today.

My average 30-year annual precip via PRISM is 45.70", NOAA is 43.72" 2023: 41.99" 2024: 36.19" 2025: 38.62" And this year I'm about 5-6" down. It came after a series of wet years, but eventually that catches up.

Saw something online that said that Austin tied their all-time heat index record. Some crazy readings down there.

Add a trace to my earlier trace. DC has only had two sub-1” Junes on record. Sitting at 0.21” right now.

A trace so far. The line out by Davis is looking more robust that the models have it, so maybe it can power through to give us at least a little rain.

DCA with a shutout yesterday. 0.21” for June, approaching a 6” departure on the year.

Drought rolls on unabated.

Bit of initiation happening west of DC from the outflow from the earlier southern storms.

Racked up 0.05”, which technically means I fell even further below normal for the year.

Drought rules all

Core of the wind went south of me, which is fine. Getting some rain which is extremely welcome. Still haven’t had a real thunder event this year. Just some rumbles in the distance.

The gust front was solid, definitely in the 40s. We’ll see what the next surge has in store.

97 for a high so far. They “benefitted” from getting very little rain yesterday.

89.0, HI approaching 100

0.09" added to my 0.10" this morning. Lame.

Dew Points 72-75 for most of us.

0.10”. Which brings me to 0.10” on the month.