MN Transplant

That cell evaporated as soon as it got to Dulles

My Vikings looked good yesterday! I’m just going to pretend that baseball doesn’t exist.

These little showers are a solid drenching if you get stuck out in them

Close to an inch. Marginal risk for tomorrow.

HRRR and 3km NAM still looking good for rain along 95 overnight and early tomorrow.

Decent enhancement with the front coming through the DC metro. Adding on a couple more tenths. Just over an inch now.

0.82”. Good soak, still jealous of those of you to the north.

I vote for the 00z HRRR

HRRR continues to like the overnight hours for a shield of rain. Not local, but 117 in Sacramento is nuts.

Trace

Things are looking good for the northern parts, but somewhat more tenuous DC and south for rain.

That’s wild. Models are looking decent for rain Mon/Tues.

Not sure about storms, but I bet you cool off much easier at night in clear conditions.

Yeah, this is awesome. https://lidar-fairfaxcountygis.opendata.arcgis.com/apps/lidar-elevation-viewer/explore Still funny that the highest elevation in the county is the landfill mound. I'm in the orange near Tyson's which is great for really marginal elevation snows and extending growing seasons, and terrible for always finishing any exercise by going up a hill.

In my mind, you have to think about it as shifting the probability distribution. Warming is always going to be on top of an existing mechanism. Tropical is tricky because there is still uncertainty how warming will manifest over the long run. We could get the same number of storms globally, but an increase in strength. Or other factors could intervene. What if a result of warming ends up that the SAL becomes a dominant feature in the Atlantic? Or the SST warming means more storms outside the climatological areas.

0.11” A lot of inconsequential rain events this summer.

Dew points are basically holding.

93.7. Make it stop.

Meanwhile, the HRRR kills off the line prior to 95.

August is the worst

Rooting for the NAM Nest for tomorrow since the long range models look dry.

5 straight 90s at DCA. More to come.

Keeps the mosquitoes happy

Woo

Winning