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MN Transplant

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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant
    There are still important data to collect for research purposes. As the models get finer and finer resolution, there needs to be observational checks on their output.
  2. MN Transplant
    Stop sign tells the story
  3. MN Transplant
    You and I had the same idea. Morning vis.
  4. MN Transplant
    47.8. Full on Fall out there.
  5. MN Transplant
    It really isn’t as common of an occurrence as most think. 100s are still special.
  6. MN Transplant
    Cinnamon rolls > Cake
  7. MN Transplant
    Just tell them to park the boat in the Villages. Those folks won't mind.
  8. MN Transplant
    This is a stupid question, so it stays in banter. Would NHC call a landfall for an eye going over the Dry Tortugas?
  9. MN Transplant
    I hate to make this point, but we seem to have already escaped the worst-case scenario. If Ian took the track into St. Pete/Clearwater, the surge up Tampa Bay would have been intense. With the storm slipping south, it'll be bad, but not top-tier.
  10. MN Transplant
    Wondering how hardened the infrastructure is at Dry Tortugas NP. Fort Jefferson will be fine, but the boat landing, etc.
  11. MN Transplant
    The 06z HWRF is clearly the worst case scenario with the water funneling up Tampa Bay. But it seems to be on the west side of guidance now. Anything that leaves Tampa on the north side of landfall (Sarasota, Venice) would avert a much larger disaster.
  12. MN Transplant
    7 days ago
  13. MN Transplant
    Not only the shear, but the dry air just surrounds Ian once it gets partway into the Gulf.
  14. MN Transplant
    There really hasn’t been any modeling that shows significant impacts up here.
  15. MN Transplant
    Some of the worst damage video that I’ve seen on Twitter is actually surge-related up in Newfoundland.
  16. MN Transplant
    Too bad we lost pressure readings from Sable Island https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=CWSA&hours=72
  17. MN Transplant
    FYI - Josh posted that he’s going to ride it out in Sydney, so on the island with you, but on the east side.
  18. MN Transplant
    12z Euro is a Charley-like track for TD9, but it makes a second landfall on the NC/SC border and passes through here as a remnant with some rain.
  19. MN Transplant
    Morning modeling looks pretty good for you. There seems to be a touch of a bend back at landfall. Even if it slips to your east, that'll just make the water even more wild with a more northerly/westerly component.
  20. MN Transplant
    He posted a pic at Guysborough. I guess he could get to Canso, the highway is paved the entire way.
  21. MN Transplant
    Any worries about the causeway shutting down? I see that Josh is hanging back on the "mainland".
  22. MN Transplant
    12z GFS is interesting. Gets into the Gulf with a path over the tip of Cuba, but since it misses the trough that the Euro has it just sits and slowly loses intensity off of Tampa.
  23. MN Transplant
    The Euro track is so similar to Charley. Weak TD/TS through the southern Caribbean, slides south of Jamaica, cuts up through Cuba near Havana, and into southern FL.
  24. MN Transplant
    0.02". C'mon Hermine/Ian.
  25. MN Transplant
    Barely
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