MN Transplant

The last couple of runs of the GFS are aggressive with the wave coming up on the Windwards.

It is humid again

I got 0.07”, so, success?

Amazing how things get crispy very quickly. Less than an inch of precip over the last two weeks and the lawn completely gave up.

Addendum to the school discussion

Keep it in Texas

Eastern DC getting smacked around again. Amazing.

Any day that stays in the 70s in August is a big win in my book

Still too warm in the direct sunlight, but so much nicer than it has been. 81

Hostas are deer food only, and you can't convince me otherwise. Plenty of tomatoes, but they are sure slow to ripen. Our fig tree is finally grown enough to really start producing.

I think that is MRMS data that LWX plots, but don’t hold me to that. https://mrms.nssl.noaa.gov https://www.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?webmap=318de5dd4d784f72bb96ad2cfddce041 I will say that there is a big fat 1.49” over my house and I got 0.51”, so there are still resolution struggles. I really just prefer CoCoRaHS. https://maps.cocorahs.org

Today is going to end up within a degree of average at DCA. I want it cooler.

SPC talked this morning about how the second round had more upper air support, but the first round would stabilize us. I sure don’t remember many cases where a new round of convection ran into a trailing stratiform region.

We haven’t had a lot of trailing stratoform regions this year.

I’m not desperate for rain, but 0.30” from this radar 40 minutes ago feels like a minor letdown.

I think it is mainly going to follow the outflow boundary and weak westerly winds.

The outflow boundary from the western storms an hour ago is moving through and enhancing everything else. Pretty cool to watch.

And there went the power

Really booming out there. The jump in lightning on the FFX cell was impressive.

Very quick 1-1.5” by Fair Oaks

Severe warning for much of Fairfax Co. Transient downbursts. Starting to rain here. Not sure about the concrete trucks continuing to go to the new infill development around the corner.

Getting close, but you can’t ever trust these pulsing August storms to hold together from one mile to the next.

SPC has us marginal today for downdraft winds. Radar is starting to pop to the west.

Today is the 7th 95+ at DCA. Since the move to the current river location, the long-term average is ~9, so we are probably ahead of pace by a bit, but it is going to start getting tougher to achieve climatologically after this nice cooldown. By all accounts, this is a very average summer. Plain, boring mid-Atlantic hot and humid. In the past 20 years, only 5 summers have had >10 days of 95+, but they were some all-timers. 2012: 29 2010: 27 2011: 24 2016: 23 2019: 15 By the way, 2003 and 2004 had no 95+ days.