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stormdragonwx

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Everything posted by stormdragonwx

  1. Yeah I chose to sit this one out. Was actually considering NW KS last night as well. Tomorrow doesn't look much better but I might look into it. Main thing keeping me at bay these two days is excessive cloud cover and messy storm modes.
  2. Here's the current D2 outlook. Got a slight risk area with a 5 percent tornado. Storm chasing potential is trending more and more into the "meh" category for me. Might sit this one out but I'll have to look at the data closely tonight.
  3. Yeah its quite depressing, especially if you missed out on this past Friday.
  4. Lol this is starting to sound like a rinse and repeat of 2020. One good photogenic storm chase event in April then it all shuts down in May.
  5. Interesting. Right back in the same area as yesterday's event. Though I somehow doubt we will see a repeat performance. Either way I'd love to get redemption for having to miss yesterday.
  6. Welp looks like my virtual target area verified. And photogenic too. Couldn't get out because of work. Congrats to those who got on the cyclic tornadic supercell in the SE TX panhandle today.
  7. Had a dusting to half inch here in Fayetteville but its melting quick now that its stopped. Video: https://twitter.com/StormdragonWX/status/1384607574742364160?s=20
  8. I won't spam the thread with accum maps but pretty much every model has snow for the 4 states area by this time tomorrow.
  9. GFS has been sticking to its guns all day. GEM and Euro still seem to hint at it, but trend a bit drier. Still can't believe I'm posting snow maps this late in the season.
  10. Soooo.... do we dare talk about this yet? Yes you are reading these graphics correctly. Possible snow on the GFS and Euro showing up next week.
  11. As I mentioned in another post, this season feels quite a bit like 2013. I'm betting it will blow up in the last two weeks of May going into June.
  12. Yeah scratching my head on this one. Maybe we will have more clarity later today. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
  13. Maybe its just me but the SPC seems to agree with what I suspect that the threat looks to be trending in the wrong direction now for being another worthwhile chase opportunity. But we still got 36-48 hours to go so we will see. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
  14. Kinda thinking we might get something towards the end of April into May (logically and climatology speaking) but overall this may be a Dixie Alley year.
  15. I know spotter icons are not necessarily accurate to the timing but I will note this doesn't look very good either. I hope we don't get news in a couple days of more chasers being killed by a tornado.
  16. I hear ya man. I was right up the road from you. Watched that one promising storm fall apart over Florence. Looks like we are done around here as the other rain showers further south and west look to be struggling. Central AL and east was the place to be again today.
  17. Welp time to break out this old gem. https://youtu.be/Keu8J9WgvzQ
  18. ^And the clearing allowing substantial surface destabilization. I think 3500-4000 CAPE is not out of the question now for these areas.
  19. Yeah that clearing is definitely not something you wanna see on a day like today.
  20. Crazy the High Risk actually happened. And right over Jackson, MS which is my primary chase target.
  21. I have to say HRRR did a fantastic job with Saturday. From its guidance going all the way back to the day before, I had targeted an area between Clarendon and Groom, TX. And of course the towns are indeed mentioned in the storm report. The tornadoes even appeared to have crossed at areas where I had actually parked that day. (most notably Washburn, the west side of Clarendon, and Greenbelt Reservoir)
  22. 1377 tornadoes EDIT: I'm joining the March 17th club too after seeing the latest data. 2nd High Risk day will be April 26th.
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