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stormdragonwx

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Everything posted by stormdragonwx

  1. stormdragonwx
    I might end up eating my words later, but looking at current trends I am now getting the feeling yesterday was the bigger of the two days. We will see. I just got a feeling this will be a messy storm mode setting up which will hamper the tornado threat.
  2. stormdragonwx
    The driver be like: "Don't mind me, just re-enacting that scene from "Twister" is all."
  3. stormdragonwx
    SPC maintains Mod Risk on the new SWODY1. The 15% hatched area has expanded quite a bit though.
  4. stormdragonwx
    So with tomorrow, are we thinking the SPC will be more or less likely to pull the trigger on going High Risk in wake of what happened today?
  5. stormdragonwx
    SPC hinting at a possible Mod Risk Upgrade in TX for I-35 and E in future outlooks via the 12z update. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
  6. stormdragonwx
    Moderate Risk maintained on the new D2 w/15% hatched tornado risk, I believe this is one of the first few D2 outlooks to feature such a high tornado risk since they started doing D2 tornado risk maps?
  7. stormdragonwx
    Not to discount the risk as is but if that CA gets closer to 90 then I'd be very concerned for you folks down there.
  8. stormdragonwx
    Got a solid 3" with moderate snow still falling at this hour in E Fayetteville, AR. Will probably see another inch before the dry slot kills it.
  9. stormdragonwx
    T-Minus 12 hours before the fun begins. Thinking 2-4" in my area.
  10. stormdragonwx
    Safe to say the end of the week is gonna get fun.
  11. stormdragonwx
    Thoughts on NC AR today? While I don't expect a repeat performance of what we saw in Iowa yesterday, im thinking things could get interesting later. EDIT: Meso Discussion is out, Tornado Watch likely for said area. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0207.html
  12. stormdragonwx
    So who thinks we might squeeze out one more decent snowstorm across the Southern Plains/Ozarks? I remember in the 90's 00's that was a regular thing in March. Including some of our biggest, wettest snowfalls.
  13. stormdragonwx
    I know its wishful thinking but its been spitting snow all day in NWA and yes its MUCH colder than what the models indicated. Hoping maybe the cold air will remain deep enough and avert an ice storm disaster here.
  14. stormdragonwx
    Ugh yeah guess my time is up. Probably getting an ice storm in the next few days.
  15. stormdragonwx
    Yeah this system was pretty much meh across the board IMO. Very interested to see how next weeks system evolves. Hopefully it evolves into more snow than ice like before.
  16. stormdragonwx
    Looks like we had 8" here.
  17. stormdragonwx
    Strangely enough it seems like this current wave of precip. is over performing now. Current snowfall where I'm at is heavier than last nights batch. Noticed the tail end of it is still out by Lawton. Wonder if it will hold together or if dry air will kill it as it moves east.
  18. stormdragonwx
    Looking at Radarscope, is it just me or is the new snow band evaporating as it moves east?
  19. stormdragonwx
    ^Can report the same. Looks like I got just shy of 6" here in E Fayetteville. Was hard to measure since there was a lot of drifting. Some spots was 3" some was 7".
  20. stormdragonwx
    We changed over to all snow here in E Fayetteville about 20-30 mins ago. Something to note too, the snow band that has reached us tonight in NE OK and NW AR extends all the way down to the Fort Stockton, TX area. Needless to say its gonna be snowing for awhile.
  21. stormdragonwx
    Even though its old data as of this posting, models were in pretty good agreement still. Astounding. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sn10_acc&rh=2022020300&fh=48&r=us_sc&dpdt=&mc=bl
  22. stormdragonwx
    Yeah starting to lose confidence in the snow forecast outdoing last years event. Still no changeover and its almost 10pm. Might just be a nasty sleet storm here with flurries by daybreak.
  23. stormdragonwx
    Yeah a mix of sleet and freezing drizzle in my area. Hope it changes over soon or it will screw up the snow totals later. Fingers crossed the dry slot stays away. EDIT: Decent wind gusts going on too.
  24. stormdragonwx
    You can see round 2 organizing in NW TX and headed NE along I-44 but it's just a tad bit further south than anticipated. This also puts it on an ideal track to slam those of us in NW Arkansas later on. From what I've seen on the GFS ensembles over the past couple days I'd be astonished if this system doesn't overproduce at this point. This will likely be our biggest snowfall in 11 years.
  25. stormdragonwx
    Surprisingly there was a quick burst of snow over here in Fayetteville as the precip pulled out. That might set the trend later today.
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