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stormdragonwx

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Everything posted by stormdragonwx

  1. I haven't gone out yet this year and I may actually bite on this with the southern target. Looks to have somewhat slower storm motions and its only 4 hours away for me compared to the northern target. It also looks to not be an entirely overnight event, which is a plus. I will decide later tonight.
  2. From Adam Lucio on Facebook: "Pray for Rolling Fork and Silver City, MS. This tornado claimed many lives tonight. I unfortunately have footage of a vehicle’s headlights orbiting the tornado shortly after this. Not sure I’ll post it due to the sensitive nature of it." https://www.facebook.com/TornadoChasing/posts/pfbid02ExazSVNa8ZWB2Q2AP7M7vF66Cgj7b4MbyRD64nQ7rGCXbkemUTS5e3HC7QruG9Djl
  3. Silver City, MS tornado screencap. Thats insane. Image Credit: Brett Adair
  4. Yeah I am saving these radar scan frames. This is historic.
  5. It appears to have grazed the south side of Smithville going by the CC data.
  6. You can pretty much make out the tornado vortex itself. I haven't seen a CC debris ball depicting a donut in a long time.
  7. Dire messages coming from chasers on Twitter. https://twitter.com/DFWStormChasing/status/1639437281755791360?s=20 EDIT: Images coming in now. Photo Credit: Zachary Hall
  8. Textbook CC drop now being recorded. Obvious direct hit taken to Rolling Fork, MS.
  9. Yup chasers are scoring big in western MS right now. (excuse the pun) https://twitter.com/Tornado_Warned/status/1639432371169804289/photo/1 Another: https://twitter.com/WxZachary/status/1639433366725328897?s=20
  10. Prospects so far don't look great for discrete supercells down there. HRRR looks messy again too. That linear convective mess is getting close to overtaking the risk area. Something better start popping out ahead in the next hour or two. Otherwise this may just be a QLCS event with a bunch of spinups vs. violent long track supercell tors thru the evening. Granted this is good news for the general public that live there, if so.
  11. Couldn't help but notice in later outlooks SPC changed the wording from "Tornado Outbreak" to "Severe Weather Outbreak".
  12. Despite the incoming cold snap it looks like our last hurrah for winter storms seems to be going out with a wimper instead. I had some hope on the GFS/Euro mid-month for my area but its looking less likely now it seems.
  13. My target area looks to be verifying. I would have picked this spot if I chased down there today.
  14. I suspected as much. The day before the day could be interesting.
  15. Indeed I'm thinking tomorrow might be a decent day before the day type setup. HRRR has been consistent on tracking a lone supercell over southern AR.
  16. Yeah I get its all part of the early season hype and everyone is antsy to get out on the roads again but I wouldn't be quick to bite on this. Its only February.
  17. Clock is ticking. Beginning to wonder if the Jan 24th system is gonna be our only major widespread snow storm for the southern plains this year. And of course for many that was a bust too.
  18. NVM models pulled a complete Lucy this afternoon.
  19. Well they already recorded 2-3" of snow just west of the OKC metro tonight. Will be interesting to see how this progresses tonight and later this week.
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