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stormdragonwx

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Everything posted by stormdragonwx

  1. stormdragonwx
    Yeah the NAM and Euro seem to be out to lunch OR they are right and a massive bust is inbound. Fingers crossed for the GFS/Canadian.
  2. stormdragonwx
    Man I swear if the rug gets pulled out from under us again... I'm hoping this is just the typical "bad run before the storm" model fluke. lol
  3. stormdragonwx
    I will be curious to see if we get some Blizzard Warnings issued in the 4 state area for this late weekend system. The potential is there.
  4. stormdragonwx
    Models still looking kinda depressing. Looks like the rug got pulled out for a lot of us.
  5. stormdragonwx
    Yeah I am writing off Tuesdays setup and holding out hope for Friday... if it doesn't stay too far north too. The next 72 hours will tell the tale.
  6. stormdragonwx
    Pretty amused with the silly GFS model calling snowpocalypse next week for Northern Arkansas with 3+ feet happening in that pocket over Harrison. Society would come to a screeching hault if this were to happen. lol
  7. stormdragonwx
    I've felt the Euro has always performed the best on Winter Scenarios.
  8. stormdragonwx
    I'll take this Euro run. See if it holds for the upcoming 00z run. lol
  9. stormdragonwx
    Tulsa playing it conservative as usual. lol I guess they really don't trust the models.
  10. stormdragonwx
    Up to 3" here now too and the band has still not cleared the area yet.
  11. stormdragonwx
    Yeah a definite overperformer over here. Got an inch in less than an hour. Its covering streets and driveways too. Probably have 2+ inches on the east side of town. The heaviest part of the band hasn't moved all the way thru yet.
  12. stormdragonwx
    Rapid changeover happening in eastern OK right now. Possible heavy snow occurring.
  13. stormdragonwx
    HRRR still wants to overperform on this upcoming weekend system. GFS, Canadian, Euro and UKMET all hitting hard for next weeks system still. Euro being the most conservative.
  14. stormdragonwx
    Indeed its a pretty crazy flip from what we have seen so far this winter, especially with back to back systems on the long range, also reminds me of 2011. Fingers crossed it doesn't do a 180 in the next 48-72 hours.
  15. stormdragonwx
    I wouldn't rule out more in the higher elevation areas. (Eureka Springs, Harrison) Those areas tend to overperform.
  16. stormdragonwx
    I'm gonna do some reverse psychology and say its gonna do the magic vanishing act around 100 hours out when the NAM comes into range. lol
  17. stormdragonwx
    Pretty jealous for parts of Southern Missouri today. I was tempted to do a snow storm chase up there. Looks like areas around Springfield got 2+ inches according to a NWS report I saw. I saw a mere dippin dot on my car windshield today, NWA just barely missed it again. lol
  18. stormdragonwx
    Send some of that snow over my way. lol
  19. stormdragonwx
    Yes the models thru at least the 20th are looking pretty bleak for any winter fun around here.
  20. stormdragonwx
    Yeah local media here is already trying to hype the Euro solution. Probably because of this:
  21. stormdragonwx
    I will be curious to see if the Southern Plains east of I-35 into the Ozarks will see a decent winter system before the year is out. There's a chance hinted at on the models around the 11th or so but that's way up in the air. I'll admit last winter kinda spoiled me after years of drought when it comes to snow. lol
  22. stormdragonwx
    While the snowfall doesn't look to be happening too much past the I-35/44 corridor as the models shown nearly 2 weeks ago, thats still quite impressive that they had it shown in the general area so consistently.
  23. stormdragonwx
    Yeah its total wishcasting as of right now but the models are finally showing signals for snow in the area. Been doing this for several runs around the 26th.
  24. stormdragonwx
    Seeing some analogs referring to the 1957-58, 1976-77, and 2009-10 seasons for this winter. Some interesting years there in my neck of the woods. Also an article talking about it. https://www.nwahomepage.com/news/featured-stories/your-weather-authoritys-official-2023-2024-winter-forecast/?fbclid=IwAR18RsWkMnBT3So4VZWvmcyFsixq0qvEPHMb_JCMU2QRYbg6XWeTHAXIX0E
  25. stormdragonwx
    Depends on what you count as an independent tornado. You had the four main tornado sequences then the instance with the three waterspouts in the "We got cows!" scene, then if you count each one on the "Tornado Hill" sequence as a separate tornado then you got close to 11-12 tornadoes in the film which IIRC was what most happened to see on the 2016 Dodge City day.
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