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Baltimorewx

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Everything posted by Baltimorewx

  1. Sure we do great in the all time storms like 2016 and 2010s. But in this type of storm where it’s really close, I won’t do anywhere near as well as northern Baltimore
  2. It also doesn’t include the potential heaviest snow from 0z-6z
  3. I hope but I’m not counting on it yet..I know how things go around here being by the bay lol
  4. Yeah being by the bay I expect to have major mixing or even rain problems for most of the day. I’m just hoping the CCB is as the GFS advertised and I get dumped on from like 02z-08z
  5. Only a 15 mile difference between 17” and 1.5” lol. Good run but man I’m gonna be sweating here in southeast Baltimore county. I could be rain and just a few miles northwest in like Towson could be dumping.
  6. What about southeast Baltimore county? Lol
  7. The Canadian has the CCB further northeast. It’s colder initially than GFS but still mixes and it just doesn’t have the crazy CCB for us that theGFS has. South PA gets slammed though
  8. I think it’s pretty clear that 95 and metro areas will struggle with mixing and snow accumulating until about 00z, but it also looks clear that we all get destroyed by the CCB all the way to the bay. So 02z or so until about 8z should be pretty damn fun.
  9. Too bad there’s not enough cold for this storm...would be a nice 1-2 punch Ala Feb 2010
  10. Yikes. This is looking good. I’ve already had too much to drink but need to stay up for Euro now. Tomorrow won’t be pretty. I was very hesitant on this system, it was a late bloomer to start but now there’s gulf moisture to it and the good 50/50 and the high in Canada to boot. It has went from a questionable set up to an almost perfect set up as we stand now. Give me good runs by 12z tomorrow and I’m all in
  11. Yes. This time of year it’s 1am. Pre daylight savings it’s 2
  12. Giving up beer for the night and watching the model runs come in with this. Awesome flavor, coffee tequila what can go wrong
  13. Every time I hear about the deep thunder model I think of Mick in Rocky saying, you’re gonna eat lightning, and crap thunder!!!
  14. Cmon man, it’s Stout SZN! I had an interesting one the other night from Evil Twin called something no one asked for. An imperial stout with blueberries, cinnamon and nutmeg at 14.5%. Very sweet and tart for a stout. Kinda like a beer/wine hybrid.
  15. I pretty much agree. I doubt anything happens before Christmas, so then there’s a week after that. Maybe somebody in the forum gets lucky with something but I doubt a widespread accumulating event is in the cards
  16. I know we’re snow deprived but man...I can’t get too excited about this one even if it did happen. Super weak/light event. Probably would only be light accums in west central Virginia. I guess if I lived there I’d be keeping a bit of an eye on it
  17. Been a while since I’ve popped in. Hope everyone is well. It’s a raw evening so why not drink an imperial cookie dough stout aged in willett bourbon barrels. 12.8%. It’s stout SZN!
  18. Looks like you can kinda already see the southwest shear taking effect..all the hot towers are kinda shifting north and the southern end is being a bit eroded some
  19. Cancún is pretty heavily populated and with the track it looks like it could go right over the barrier island where all the resorts are and then downtown Cancún. It won’t be good
  20. For sure...people tend to poo poo storms that dont hit a high population, fortunately it didnt but yes
  21. meh, might pad our numbers but very little time to get its act together before moving over Central America...Next up is that wave coming off Africa, hopefully thatll be promising, 40% odds this early is good i guess
  22. This watch definitely isn’t warranted for most of the area. Big time bust on that enhanced risk today
  23. Outside of that little initial thunderstorm line that developed in NOVA, we should be able to track these storms dropping out of Pa later this evening. Should be plenty of warning time
  24. Let’s hope that 945 in the gulf doesn’t pan out
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