NorthHillsWx

Scrambled eggs!!!

Imo the delayed Caribbean development ultimately doomed this one to mediocrity. It didn’t have enough time to mix out dry air while conditions were right and its starting point was too low so it developed into a Cinnabon storm. Unless these are given lots of time they usually go the same route as this one- a broad storm with a hollow core. Now it’s experiencing the SW shear and it’s time to strengthen has ceased. That being said, this will be a solid hit on Bermuda. It won’t take the eye making a rare direct hit to have big impacts with the broad eyewall. And what recon has shown is a large system with a ton of wind energy, so higher elevations will experience prolonged hurricane force winds and waves and surge will be amplified as well. But it was clear that NHC sticking to high end of intensity forecasts on this one was probably not going to pan out. A prolific wave producer for the east coast- I’m currently in nags head and about to hit the water somewhere south of here. Going to be great surfing this afternoon.

One word summarizes this storm: meh

It’s been 924 days since Raleigh’s last accumulating snow

Flash Flood Emergency for Greensboro

Video I took tonight as the cell was winding down. Yes, that’s a lot of water and yes, I should have shut the door

Well… not sure this counts for Debby but my house got nailed by that cell. We picked up 1.52” in 25 minutes for possibly the heaviest rain I have ever seen. Lighting was terrible too. MTD up to 8.89”

Debby’s rain brought our MTD total to 7.34” so over 17” here since July 1

GFS does not inspire much confidence in a fish storm last two runs… After all the rain with a hurricane moving over Eastern NC a week later though I’m sure the eastern half of the state would be similar to an ocean!

Up to 6.27” storm total after this morning’s rain

It’s pretty rare for any rain event that basically the entire state picked up 3”+ in a day. Outside Asheville west and OBX I think everyone’s had around 3” to way more just today

While we most definitely will crack 6” in my backyard (almost there) it was spread out over 3 days and there was a long lull. If all 6” had fallen today it would’ve been a significantly worse situation, obviously. With a forecast that had totals shown as 10-15” within 18 hours of start time, this wasn’t even close to verifying. I know it’s in in line with earlier forecasts. I think the lack of any substantial banding before today and Debby’s increased motion really helped keep totals down. Obviously an impactful storm and a lot of flooding but most of it was run of the mill flooding. Guess we’ll see how the rivers respond through the week. Looking ahead, this has certainly set the stage for significant flooding should we get another system. With much of the southeast now flooded or waterlogged, another storm could be very bad. Something to watch with an orange in the Atlantic at present

Tornado warned storm near Bunn has a nasty looking hook but velocities are not crazy yet. That’s one to watch though

Pretty significant training of a band going on in Franklin county. Localized higher amounts and flooding likely

Confirmed tornado OTG near Kittrell per NWS. Radar is somewhat unimpressive

Gotta say- at least here this has been very underwhelming.

5.40” here storm total and raining heavily at the moment but looks like a large break upcoming

Tornado OTG near red oak

It definitely spun up overnight when it regenerated convection. The dry air that mixed in when it stalled likely saved South Carolina from the catastrophic flooding it otherwise would’ve been capable of producing. Widespread flooding in NC this morning but nothing major yet at least that I’m aware of. I am becoming concerned for the foothill regions that will get upslope enhancement to possibly exceed 10”. This storm has been a prolific tornado producer, and unfortunately one caused a fatality in Wilson county this morning

I just read that. Very sad. Looks like another possible brief tornado occurred just east of rocky mount. This is becoming a prolific tornado producer in eastern NC. We’re at 4.65” storm total but 1.55” of that came from the first band in 45 minutes. Not much here yesterday but it’s been a lot of rain today with close to 3”

Serious looking debris signature just NE of Louisburg. This one is associated with a very visible hook echo on radar. This probably is a significant tornado

Likely tornado just south of Rocky Mount Edit: Actually 3 strong signatures showing up in that area. Looks like typical brief spin ups but definitely a few short touchdowns