Stevo6899

To be honest I wouldn't even look past hour 100 anymore on the models especially in this complex pattern.

Early look at the euro and the ridging says it's going to come Nw from 0z.

Does this kinda pattern lean towards storms strenghtneing more than models think, thus nw trends instead of weaker/se like we've seen for awhile?...

Bullseye on 12z for metro detroit. Obviously you're always leery of a Northwest shift and we still got a system today and another one to go through so likely some changes to come. Lansing to chicago is a good place to be imo as it leaves wiggle room for some more strenghtneing.

Yeah that's probably one good thing about this pattern that we've been in is we haven't had to worry about storms going to our West. We just gotta ride that thin line all the time. It just bugs me to see these systems be so meager in the midwest but as soon as they get to the coast they develop and it's an automatic 6 for boston lol.

Could this finally be the first storm for what seems like forever that doesn't trend southeast and weaker...

Thanks for the reply and info. I had no idea we went all last winter without one. That stat of going 6+ winters without one is depressing and shows things could be alot worse and we definitely have been spoiled recently/puts things into perspective. While I wish we could get bigger storms in our area, that's just not our climo. It doesnt make our climo suck, its just the way it is and no sense in getting all upset over it. Easier said than done though when you see big dogs hit other areas but that's the luck of the weather. If we can score one 8+ storm this winter, I'll be happy. I am guilty of having way too high of expectations regarding our climo.

This weekends storm cracks me up, Detroit in between precip areas with zzzz. Not that it's an impressive storm but had chance at being decent. It's pretty hard to go a whole winter without a 6 inch event. When's the last time that happened Josh? We gotta be close to having it happen the latest in the winter, mid feb at the earliest this winter..

Gfs somehow has bullseye 6 over detroit for the weekend.... definitly gonna be a nowcast event it seems.

Today's run of the euro has I think the first sub 990 storm I've seen in the region on any run this winter.

Obviously still a few days left but it's only fitting that the low pressure for the weekend doesn't get it's act together until it's well east of the area.

If only the weekend system could slow down a bit, but nonetheless looks like it has potential to be biggest event of the winter for northern burbs.

Euro with a bowling ball type wave for next weekend. Atleast it seems it's getting a little more active.

Definitely a legit 2 inch per hour band along 59. Pretty impressive to see it accumulating so fast on a wet ground. If only this could last 12 hours.

36 and rain, while bands remain stationary overhead. Go from single digits and bone dry to just above freezing and cold rain. Easily an F winter so far. I have a feeling though that winter will end on a good note later next month.

Everything that comes along is just too progressive and weak. Even last weeks gulf snow was a progressive. We need more of a buckle in the jet stream and in the right place. I don't think alot of us realize how many moving parts need to come together to deliver the goods. Makes you appreciate them more when they do come

Were gonna go from suppression, to wagons west. Guess it's better than teens for highs.

Without me you wouldn't ever post on here so keep being obsessed with my hot takes. Enjoy that cold this week

Huh? I was just saying our area may be the last to see a decent storm this winter and that I look forward to your turd polishing this winter. No 6-12 inches in 20 hours isn't warranted for a trip home. One day I'll accept you're shitty criteria for good winters/storms. Maybe next year....

We talk about snow and the cold on here. Aren't we all ridiculous? Maybe I'm next level ridiculous. I fly home every weekend to check on mom. What's the difference where I am when I complain about our shitty winter?

Def not proven wrong. I was just saying all we got to look forward to is how you will spin this winter as avg and not that bad. I don't live up there in the winter but I wanna hop on a plane for a snowstorm lol. 6 winters in a row no flights back. Luckily I was home still in Nov 2019.

Come mid february and were still waiting for a decent event, I'm really looking forward to Josh turd polishing this winter so far as not that bad as he references the past week of the 4-6 inches that accumulated over a 100 hour period/week of snowcover. Followed by 3 days of useless days in single digits, then rain with the next event.

True. Usually weak Nina's are good for us but as always enso isn't the end all be all for patterns. Thats why I roll my eyes when someone posts the precip/temp maps for the upcoming weeks as they are just created based on enso alone it seems. So many things gotta come together outside of (nao/pna/ao) for a favorable pattern for certain parts of this sub. The end of the gfs run looks promising pattern wise. It's been cloudy the past 3 days here in SW Florida with that looking to continue for another 5-7 days. Pretty rare this time of year as it's usually sunny and only cloudy when a front rolls through. Gotta get outta this suppression and move that baroclinic zone back north.

Yea that would totally make sense. Come mid march I'm ready for warmer weather. I feel like our best chance for a big dog is in march when we gotta thread the needle and more moisture available.

We may be the last ones to see a substantial snowstorm. Hopefully it'll be worth the wait. South had theirs with ohio valley, east coast next. I believe msp had a 6 incher in december?