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Stevo6899

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Everything posted by Stevo6899

  1. Ya gotta get thru your 90 day probation b4 you can suggest anything...
  2. I said that 4 years ago when I became a snowbird and started going down to florida dec thru march. I don't believe my backyard has seen a legit 8+ snowstorm since, so I don't think anyone needs to prepare for anything lol.
  3. Per usual, wait for this lead storm to roll through before getting too excited/bummed about the next one. As many have stated, atleast it's looks more active with some cold air to work with.
  4. Euro trying to make next weekend interesting but would suck to miss this current one to the nw then the next to the se.
  5. Obviously southern convection can rob cold sector precip, but can it also force the low to form/kinda tug it more south or straight east as it moves along?
  6. Whoever wouldn't prefer to see it tick colder doesn't belong here lol. Gfs is starting to fizzle it out as it heads east. Trends die hard. Hopefully we get a respectable storm somewhere other than the upper midwest.
  7. Per usual I think the track and evolution of this will be affected by how the first rain system rolls through first. The quicker, weaker, further north that goes, the more this system will most likely track further nw, maybe even more than the 12z gfs today.
  8. Models aside, do you take into consideration/mention the trends the past few years of storms ending up weaker/se in your afd's/write ups/forecast pops.
  9. Gfs weak, euro strengthens it a bit. Compromise and you got a track over dtw.
  10. I guess it's good that the gfs is showing a weak turd slider for next weekend. Lately when it's shown a more wound up storm in this range, it's ended up as a weaker low, per the norm the last several years. Maybe we can break the shitty progressive turd slider slide we're on...
  11. There's plenty we can do, bitch and whine about it on here without having to deal with you telling us winters gone as advertised, like that helps lol. Usual SEMI donut hole, least amount this far north. https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/01/10/below-average-northeast-snow/
  12. What annoys me is even when the enso is in our favor, we have winters like this year and the past few yrs where it's underwhelming as far as big dogs go. But when we're in a El Nino, the east coast gets atleast one big noreaster. Such is life I suppose not having a moisture source right next door.
  13. Can't ask for a better track for dtw than the 12z euro but as always there's something missing and this time the cold air and deformation band precip.
  14. It's unreal the streak were on of systems we've seen end up weaker and scoot/slide SE instead of ramping up. I havent paid attention to the systems that have delivered for msp, but i think those ended up weaker even though they've delivered a few 6-12 events. I think with it being colder and better ratios has helped in the snow totals in those msp events. It's gotta be some kind of equations they're inserting in these model updates in the 80-130 hr time frame to have then portray amped up systems 4-7 days out.
  15. I dont know what you want? Lol. Mets aren't going to forecast much this far out other than mentioning a possible active end of the week. And with our luck recently, new threads aren't made until 3-4 days out. Let's be honest, nobody other than us weenies care about/track the weather 3 days away in the middle of the winter.
  16. The timing of the phasing is key and no model will pin that down until within 24 hrs or less. So who cares what model saw it first. I don't think anyone respects any model nowadays.
  17. Ehh I think things get cranking a lil too late for dtw to get a decent storm. Ontario looks alot better.
  18. Nowadays it's best to wait until 3 or so days out before starting a storm thread. This is the first run the euro showed anything close for the east part of the forum.
  19. 5 days out nowadays with these models seems like long term lol.
  20. Nice lil system popping up on gfs for end of next week and maturing over the middle lakes, taking a favorable track for ind/tol/det. Euro weaker further se. Looks like there's a lil northern piece that swings through first, providing just enough cold air. If that moves out of the way quick enough, the main wave has room to amplify. Per euro/Canadian, it shunts the energy further se. We've seen that alot in recent years.
  21. Yea I saw the temps and wind chills. I'm a snow fan, and the brutal cold does nothing for me, even if its a blizzard for a few hours. I don't think anyone enjoys the kinda cold most the midwest saw recently. It's just a bummer all the cold was wasted with no legit snowstorm. Tbh it's been really muggy the last 2 days down here and it's been uncomfortable lol.
  22. Thanks for the stats. It seemed like it snowed everyday that January. I knew when it was happening that it was a once in 50 year kinda month/stretch we were on. Can you supply the stats for all those years for Jan alone? No worries if not. Happy new year. May the rest of the winter soon bring you snowcover and everything you enjoy in the winter. Im sorry I've been kinda a jerk towards you over the years. My new years goal is to support others more and what they love and respect what brings them joy.
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