Can't get a better track than the 18z nam for dtw. I just wish this thing would slow down but i guess if it did, and went neg tilt, it'd prob be congrats madison.
Its just difficult to get a good snow on top of an already solid 6+ snow depth. Either it all has to melt before or it just freezes into a glacier and we dont get anymore snow after that lol.
If it wasn't for the inch of rain that's gonna come before it, I probably would hop on a plane for this one but I'm skeptical it's going to accumulate much on top of all that rain. Maybe 5-6 if were lucky.
1-3 isnt considered an event imo. An event is 3+ and theres only been these last 2 worth getting excited about and the last one was a turd compared to what it couldve been. We'll see about this one. Rain to snow events are always tricky as far as accumulations.
It's hilarious every time they are bullish (rare), the storm ends up underwhelming. Now watch this time they'll be conservative and we'll get over a foot.
The GFS has been amped and too far Northwest with alot of storms in recent years, including within 72 hrs. I think most offices will lean towards the euro.
Gfs/nam prob too far north. Ukmet/Canadian are similar, kinda euroish. I think if the euro holds serve later, gfs/nam can prob be considered outliers. With the last system, they were too far north at this point also. We shall see.
12z rgem looks more organized, as does the 12z gdps. I'm still a little confused the difference between those 2. I know they're both the Canadian model, rgem the short term model, but sometimes they do have subtle differences.
It was the only model that had the last storm as far North as it did, with the main show banding all the way up to near lansing, and ended up being 200+ miles SE of detroit. You think its gonna cave or score a coup with this one?
Lolol @ lowest totals circle around detroit. Literally 8+ on a 1500 mile stretch from maine to oklahoma and then you got the circle of nothingness. Hard to believe but thats how we roll.
Detroit paper actually wrote an article on the bust. Unfortunately its events like these that make the public lose the trust about forecasts. One day we'll get that big dog and people will be stranded on freeways like ghd1 in chicago.
https://www.freep.com/story/news/local/michigan/2022/02/03/michigan-winter-storm-snow-metro-detroit-predictions/6646681001/