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Stevo6899

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Everything posted by Stevo6899

  1. I think its still snowing at the end of the run?
  2. As stated earlier, theres so many moving pieces to this, some still offshore, so a bump more north is possible, or south. Its anyones guess.
  3. Its been chilly, in the 50s here in fort myers past few days. Gonna be in the 80s n sunny all week so its gonna have to be a lil more north tomorrow for me to leave lol. I forget, you're in dallas?
  4. Not complaining just discussing lol. 2 feet+ or bust.
  5. Well it didnt go south, just the orientation went more w-e up this way. Im hoping by tomorrow 12z we'll have a better idea.
  6. You never wanna be in the bullseye 36-48 hr out. Id rather be on the northern fringes so i like where detroit sits. More often than not, banding ends up further north. Ill wait until tomorrow 12z to book anything.
  7. Toledo bullseye. Crazy the gfs still spitting out 30+ kuchera totals. And the band got wider on the 0z. Curious to see if weve hit the northern most extent of the heavy 30+ banding.
  8. What the hell happened to the ukmet? Its been way way south the whole time. Did they run some kind of update on it and now its scores arent as good? I remember it having the best verification scores as recent as last yr.
  9. You'd think id learn after 17 yrs of this, and after ghd1 but a weenie gonna weenie. I dont get as stressed as I used to. Just been waiting forever for our own ghd 2 footer in metro Detroit. Maybe this is it.
  10. Yikes. I think we can see why so much volatility in the model solutions today, and prob more on the way. Gonna be a long 48 hrs lol.
  11. I was gonna wait until tomorrow night to book my flight. Cant trust these models enough until within 36 hrs lol. Would prob fly home late tues night. Was thinking maybe even wed morning but not risking getting it cancelled since it looks like it may start wed morning. Airlines are weak nowadays, delta used to never cancel flights unless a blizzard. Now all it takes is a couple inches.
  12. Where is the energy from the main show coming shore? Pac nw? SW?
  13. I agree that DTW is sitting in a good spot for the front end snows and the main show and has a chance to see some of the higher totals. Im just happy theres something to track. Basically 3 months of no big dogs to track so far.
  14. Especially after the rug pulling ghd1.
  15. Gotta smell the rain to get the big snows i suppose. It was looking like dtw was safe from even a north shift but who knows now lol. I was hoping the models would get their act together by the morning so I can book my flight home for this if needed. My family and friends cant believe i would leave 80s n sun for snow lol.
  16. Firehouse of snow lined up from maine all the way back to new Mexico hr75 on nam. Incredible developments the past 12 hrs, most noticable the orientation of the band in a nw/se trajectory. N IL and central Michigan reeling it in. Mixing issues almost all the way up to dtw.
  17. Didnt they just get like 18 inches with the last storm?
  18. Looking around at the local offices grahics that were made today (dtw/cle/grr/nind), most look like they are favoring the gefs ensembles/northern solution.
  19. I think they are riding the trends the past few years of respectable snowstorms sliding to our SE and the lack of nw trends. Either way still reckless to have this point of view of this storm at the current moment. Dtw/grr are the worst.
  20. Not gonna end up close to the gfs, which at the moment is on its own, op runs wise.
  21. Wow it's definitely been too long. I hope this one works out for you.
  22. Yeah like with every storm there's a lot of factors of play. I think the colder air and high pressure to the north is definitely hindering this from cutting much like ghd1 did. I still think there can be some wobbles nw, i feel like if we're gonna miss this one it's gonna be to our Southeast. Climo didn't favor us missing last week's Cleveland and Toronto blizzard to the Southeast so I think we can throw that logic out the window.
  23. Ughh what a nightmare that ended up being, hearing the sleet. Thats why i like where we sit right now with the euro being further SE. This time around though, theres not a wound up low like ghd1 so I think a big nw trend last minute is less likely and last nights euro has a better chance of verifying. Hopefully the zone from laf/fortwayne/dtw can cash on this one and redeem ghd1. Its weird how we find a storm threat almost every yr around groundhog day.
  24. I wonder when the last time we saw these kind of totals involved in a setup where there wasn't really a wound up low pressure system. Euro backed off the deeper low, but upped the totals. Just shows what the an open GOM can do.
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