Stevo6899

Yea that storm. Wow i thought the dry slot snuck into toledo too. Good to see toledo jackpotted for once.

Toledo had 14 on the ground after last yrs mid feb quick hitter?

I wasn't here for the feb 15 storm but i remember it as one storm that only lasted 4-6 hours and most places saw a high ratio 4-5 for the main show. Snow that happened the previous day shouldn't count towards the main show imo. Im not heading south to florida for the winter until jan 1st so here to hoping for a front loaded winter.

Ill take that track anyday. If you want a big snows, you got to smell the rain. That feb storm last year was a fast mover and I think only like 4-5 fell in most areas, high ratio fluffer. Models were hyping it bigger than it ended up being. I think the only event last year that dropped more than 3".

Northwest flow and clipper patterns don't do it for me so I guess now's a good time to be in that now and get it out of the way, and hopefully it doesnt return this winter. A decent warm up looks to be on the horizon soon. We need one powerhouse low pressure system to track north of us and push the jet stream further south so we can get some low pressure systems to come out of the 4 corners, or the gulf. I am itching and craving for a snowstorm. It's been what seems like 3 years since we've seen a decent snowstorm here in Detroit. The early november surprise storm in november 2019 is only one that comes to mind.

Decent returns over SE MI. First flakes of the season is steady snow, and not the usual mood flakes. Perhaps a sign of things to come this winter...

Thus has been the theme the past few winters, "sheared out as it heads east".

I wasn't here but I think most of the snow that was on the ground in February was High ratio/low qpf water content. Add that it all melted with no additional rain. I didn't see my 1st rain drop until 29 days after I got home March 1st, so it's not all that hard to believe that this area is in a drought. Days like today are my favorite. Mid 80's, low humidity.

Euro and UK schooled the GFS. GFS was way too north all along with this one. Looking outside, you wouldn't know the area was in a decent drought. Everything green and blossoming. Decent rains here the past few days. I'm ready for some 80's. This is like 3 years in a row may has been crappy.

I have been on a heavy lose weight campaign the past year since last year when I gained 50lbs sitting around healing from back fusion surgery. My first question after getting the first dose in March was can I exercise and do cardio right after and I was told yes and pretty much go on about your life normally. Obviously with the sore arm, lifting weights may be unpleasant. I was lethargic and arm pain almost right away after the shot, but forced myself to hop on my exercise bike. I instantly felt better.

Another quality potential bites the dust. Seems to be the norm the past 3 winters, trends SE, weaker as we get into 72 hour range. Score one for the ukmet, schooled the euro.

How many more cycles/runs until the NAM caves? 18z looks sexy for N IN up through detroit. I hope it's right but I have my doubts.

After last nights euro and the 6z nam this morning, along with the rgem caving SE, id say maybe the ukmet will score a coup with this one, but the 12z NAM is back a lil further NW and has a more impressive band of snow from Chicago through port huron. Not sure what to think with this one. I have a trip planned to Cali to see my bro and have a flight out tomorrow but if this one looks to drop 6+, I may stay for it and fly out wednesday lol. My brother after all these years still can't believe I would stay a few days home for a snowstorm rather than going to cali lol. Nobody understands us weenies.

Gfs/canadian continue to be east of the NAM and euro. 0z rgem looks juicy for eastern MI. Ukmet still well SE. Looks like its the nam/euro vs the rest.

Its been consistent in the band placement the past 3 runs.

Ukmet even further SE meanwhile 12z canadian is in the middle, 6-10 for most of SE MI. Id expect a little more waffling until the front settles SE the next day and a half. The low looks to be strengthening and maxing out in the region which is nice to see. Recently, more often than not, low pressures would be fizzling as they approach dtw, due to the darn block and other factors.

The gfs and ukmet went southeast clipping Detroit. The Canadian was stronger than actually throws the biggest knows West to Detroit so I would expect the euro to have a blend and keep the 6-10 totals the 12z had.

If all your interested in is snow maps, pivotal weather has free 10:1 euro snow maps for the HI-RES euro runs. I'm assuming you already knew that. The euro kuchera maps (all model kuchera maps) were way off this winter, at least locally here. I'm not sure why you would pay for those, unless other features came with the paid subscription that you use and enjoy. They kept spitting out 15+ amounts for the february storm and I think only a few isolated areas in the state saw double digits with that storm.

I was in california for the november one. I am still angry I missed that one. I had a feeling that one would overachieve. I remember most models and mets were forecasting 2-4 and 6-12 fell. I remember telling my family be ready for 6-10 and they blew me off. Then my dad wanted to use my snow blower because he didn't get theirs ready in time and have gas lol. If I cant recall the January 18th storm, it probably wasn't 6+ in my neck of the woods.

So I'm assuming none of the canucks were fully vaccinated before the brazil variant took over the team? I find it odd major sports teams upper management is putting pressure on the players to put out the message that they are wanting to get vaccinated and that the public should. People shouldn't need a professional athlete telling them what to do, let alone an athlete being told what to do or say. A lot of athletes are reluctant to get vaccinated and have the viewpoint of winter and his elite status resting heart rate health. Now if children could get the vaccine, I could see the motive.

Two runs in a row euro is dropping 6+ in the thumb points SW. Today's 12z run deepens the low down to 997, which has 6-10 just NW of detroit. Interesting evolution and track for this one. It seems to move slowly until rounding the bend and intensifying/shooting north quickly simultaneously. If it does indeed deepen as much as the euro portrays, id expect it to keep its slow movement, which will drop more snow. While I'd much rather have 60's right now, if its gonna be cold, I'm down for some snow as I lived in Florida this winter and need my winter storm fix. Last winter I was out of town for the only 6+ event so it's been a few years. Looks like it will warm back into the 60's a few days after this potential snow.

I noticed the grass getting a little green but not much. I got home from florida on March 1st and saw my first raindrop this morning. I can't recall this long of a precip drought.

Something you have no control over shouldn't be emotionally draining you. If it aint gonna snow, lets torch.

Pine bluff, AK getting destroyed right now. 3-4 inch per hour band. Cant remember the last time I was under a band like that.

The bigger totals might actually end up being on the Western side of the state (mi). Dry slot always find dtw too.