Stevo6899

Similar jump north around the same time out as this past storm. For a few runs It also had the last storm maintaining its strength longer out this way which ended up being wrong in the end. We'll have to see if this one can keep its sh$t together long enough to give dtw a decent snowstorm.

If i remember correctly, all 3 of those last winter took like 20 hours to get over 6+. This current storm had the most potential to atleast resemble a decent storm here, and the dryslot found us. Most models showed 12-18 for NE and IA, and that was met in some areas. You almost always have to cut kuchera snow maps in half when they show 30 inch totals in the midwest. The canadian was overdoing it and everyone knew it. 15 inches in lincoln is underwhelming? Whatever you gotta say to talk yourself into our area being a snowstorm heaven. Lol ok so macomb did okay and got 3 inches today but south of macomb basically got zilch due to the dryslot. It is what is is, we always find the dryslot in respectable storms, whether its modeled or not. Ive accepted it, just wish you would and stop turd polishing.

Lol, Those were all 18 hr dusters to get 3 inches. Congrats to us. You cant count those as actual snowstorms. Those events prob didnt even have a dry slot. Come on josh. Just for once admit east of the glacier ridge sucks for snowstorms. Enjoy your snow y'all. Send pics to remind josh what a real 6 inch snow looks like.

Detroit, downriver, and east of glacier rudge always find a way into the drysluot*.

It seems more often than not, while the low pressure didn't go further north, the bands always end up further north than modeled a few days ago. Probably due to the weakening nature of the low, allowing the banding to wander north more. Definitely the trend the past few winters, weakening as it moves E/SE. Enjoy the snow those of you getting it. I wonder if detroit will get a 4+ snowstorm this winter, one that doesn't take 10 hours to get that 4.

Very conservative wsw amounts in the wording/text for southern iowa, 5-10. Should say potential for more than 12.

Plz do this with 12+ snowstorms.

Well without the block, its raining most places, but the blocks also shearing it out. Thus is the hard knock big dog life in SE MI. Maybe we'll luck out and it will keep its act together longer.

Is the interaction with the confluence to the north causing this shearing?

Still blows its loads quickly and low weakens as it slides east. Looks good for chicago and WSW.

It seems some models that keep this further south, are weakening the low rather quickly, thus the more east track vs NE once it gets to indiana. Is it weakening due to the interaction with the northern confluence, not allowing the low to track where it wants, or is it just maxing out quickly due to the overall lack of strength of the low origin?

The euro is weakening the low and precip shield significantly as it heads east. Some concern there for the detroit crew. The u.k. strengthens it as it moves east. I guess at this point, you'd have to give the nod to the euro as its been more consistent with this storm than the uk.

I'd be more worried about the energy coming out in pieces, and a miss south with the main energy than ice, sleet and a bigger threat with all the energy ejecting together. Most models seem to be keying on the former occuring.

Id like where i am sitting if i I were chicago and detroit as it can only go so far north. Obviously still a ways to go but if anything Id expect it to come a little south of todays euro. We've also seen the euro be over amped often this winter at this range.

Its been awhile since we've had the chance to all be excited, especially a spread the wealth storm for chicago, N indiana and detroit as all 3 are represented well on here.

Euro looks canadianish, actually stronger and further north. Gonna be a good run. Des moines snow magnet on and in full force this winter.

Very rarely do we have more than a foot of snowcover. Any weenie, local or not, would complain if you were forecasted 18-24, and only got a foot or so (GHD), especially east of the snow glacier here in SEMI. At this point, if it aint gonna snow 8+, im fine with a zzzz period like you've had. But as you said, its all relative. 3-6 events don't get me excited anymore, even in a dull winter.

Sure there's been a few decent storms in december and january but the majority of D and J's have been uneventful. Of course its all relative as you consider 2 inches on the ground for 3 plus weeks exciting. Gonna be almost 4 weeks of nothingness, assuming something delivers in the jan 26-30 timeframe. Sunny the next 7 days and close to 80 down here in florida. I picked a good winter to skip.

The storm is on alot of the models so there is some agreement. Will it change on the next set of runs, probably. I think you need some marijuana or xanax in your life, or both.

I just think most people on here don't complain or get all upset about something they have no control over. Some winters just are duds, it happens.

Short version of that....Colder, but average cold is coming. The lack of strong, organized, cross country low pressure systems with deformation band snow this winter is surprising. Running out of winter days to cash in. No legit threats on the horizon. Better likelihood of an earthquake.

Nobodys humping anything. People are discussing long range winter. Simply checking out the models in the long range does no harm. I think everyone knows to take them with a grain of salt. Check out the thread title. There's nothing else going on currently in the region so there's not much else to focus on. Its prob best if you stay out of the thread, and not scare away the people with actual knowledge

Its a what have you done for me lately winter weenie crew on here. One day you'll understand that. The past few winters and this winter, nothing lately. We have had no real organized systems affect Michigan. Just dusters from a few secondary mostly positive tiltled low pressures that NE, E ohio has cashed in on but thats about it. Its gonna be atleast mid jan before anyone east of iowa (small part of IL just cashed in recently), west of cleveland will see any kind of respectable snowstorm, and its okay for people to be frustrated because thats more than a bad start.....I didnt realize Pittsburgh has been a snow magnet so far this winter. Good for them. They are usually sandwiched in between noreasters and panhandle hookers, colorado lows, not getting big snows, just like detroit.

Hahaha yea it went a bit further nw but by then it weakened. Looks like it dropped 2-3 inches before moving nw of detroit. Nickle, diming, and dusting to the avg. Can't wait for Josh to turd polish our winter in april saying he grades this winter an A since we reached our average, not mentioning that we didnt have one 6 inch storm, and if we do, it'll take 24 hours to get those 6 inches.

I remember the days where we had to worry about nw trends but that hasnt been the case for awhile. Rap/nam have been consistent bringing the banding to about m-59. Dtx seems to think it'll stay at the border.