Jump to content

crossbowftw3

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,401

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by crossbowftw3

  1. crossbowftw3
    Wouldn’t that be a case of bright banding or no? I would think not, for what it’s worth, but who knows
  2. crossbowftw3
    The silver lining is that most of the next week after this looks generally quiet so most of the water (that doesn’t freeze anyway) would recede. Hoping they’ve got their preparations good to go.
  3. crossbowftw3
    I’ve got a pretty good feeling that tomorrow morning the Delaware will be raging pretty hard. Assuming many trees don’t fall I could find time between Christmas activities to take a look at what’s going on downtown where I am. Most of the town is elevated well above the level of the Delaware, thankfully
  4. crossbowftw3
    In my portion of Sullivan County the pack has whittled down enough to where flooding would be relatively limited at my house and generally around the area, but everywhere north is in a degree of trouble here. Isaias was the last flooding event here and it proved to be pretty bad. This one’s lasting about as long as that with the snow aiding the 1-3” of rain expected to fall (and already is beginning even.) the gusts, while again only at advisory level, will only serve to aid the rapid melt and flooding.
  5. crossbowftw3
    Infinitely more concerned about flooding here in the Catskills than the wind. Plenty of areas around here still got a deep snowpack. We probably only get advisory winds here but the flooding could prove highly problematic.
  6. crossbowftw3
    You could in theory still get good mixing at night especially in a situation like this with good WAA. That WAA can also create a stronger inversion.
  7. crossbowftw3
    I think this looks close to about what may unfold...is this accounting for convective elements? If there are to be 65+ gusts it’d be if the squall line rolled through.
  8. crossbowftw3
    I would tend to believe so.
  9. crossbowftw3
    I’d think even more concern lies where the 3 feet+ fell. Sure it was more powder there but it’s obviously compacted by now.
  10. crossbowftw3
    More concerned with flooding here than winds (for now)
  11. crossbowftw3
    Could be some. Drier air will rush in with the front, however, probably cutting things off too quickly for anything more than coatings.
  12. crossbowftw3
    Most of the folks in the NE thread are ignoring that and just wanting damage
  13. crossbowftw3
    I guess advisories for us N&W folk?
  14. crossbowftw3
    Ah, yeah. 8” an hour at the absolute max happened there I think? I still remember hearing about the 12” in 90 minutes
  15. crossbowftw3
    The observations I had read from up there definitely do back this up. Again, when do you ever see these almost illegal dynamics happen in a synoptic event?
  16. crossbowftw3
    And the flakes weren’t even flying there until about the same time flakes began closer to where we are. Absolutely nutty.
  17. crossbowftw3
    We got relatively screwed down here compared to our neighbors to the north then, ha Someone has got to do a study on that band. It’s not every day a band can thrive in perfect dynamics for 6+ hours in an event that wasn’t LES.
  18. crossbowftw3
    Finished up with 13” (margin of error +/-2) here in Sullivan county @sferic @snywx how did you two do?
  19. crossbowftw3
    I don’t know how but only got a foot here in the Catskills even though snow will continue to fall for the next few hours. The band parked too far north for me I suppose.
  20. crossbowftw3
    Busted forecast to an incredibly positive degree. IMBY our forecast for around 18-24 still seems good but kind of pathetic in comparison, lmao.
  21. crossbowftw3
    First flakes finally have commenced @ 3:02 PM. 23/9
  22. crossbowftw3
    Narrowsburg, ~800 feet. Pretty close to them though
  23. crossbowftw3
    Got the classic snow feel out there in the Catskills. Still swinging for 12-18 but probably upper bound for that. Ratios still look quite good. Only concern is that dews have dropped to below 10 up here and that snow may not start until after sunset. Otherwise good to go. someone >1500’ probably gets >2’ and maybe close to 30”, probably Hunter
  24. crossbowftw3
    Likely happening over 12-18 hours, closer to perhaps 15 or so between mid-afternoon tomorrow and rapidly tapering off Thursday morning. The 1-2” (isolated 3?) inch hourly rates likely kicks off by 8-9 PM tomorrow night and rips until early morning. Lighter snows will continue past sunrise and continue thereafter until it ends by...realistically anywhere from 7 AM-Noon.
  25. crossbowftw3
    For that matter what were our ratios for Pi Day? @sferic
×
×
  • Create New...