Kmlwx
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Everything posted by Kmlwx
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1/19 - The Roulette Wheel 29 Black Storm - OBS
Kmlwx replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Elevation is not the sole determining factor of microclimate temp variations. Consider that Baltimore, MD is closer to the Chesapeake Bay which will always have some impact. Urban density also matters. -
It says “may approach” and “at times”
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They've salted my road into oblivion... So I'd actually welcome a good rain at this point to clear it before our HECS
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I remember a few "decent" ice storms during my lifetime. I was too young to remember 1994, however. Anyway - I guess this antecedent cold could foreshadow an increased ice storm threat as Bob Chill mentioned!
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Legit ice storms are super rare - and even when they happen they are usually in pretty narrow corridors. Paging @Eskimo Joe - because he's a bit of a sick puppy and roots for a once in 500 year ice storm at some point. I mean it would be "cool" to experience - but the destructiveness of ice storms and not having power for weeks doesn't sound appealing. I've got a standby generator but not sure it could go weeks running nonstop....it's just a Generac!
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He didn't exclude 2016 - it is implied that it is included in his 10 year cycle comment.
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Nah - way more. If a dime is the 7 inches I just got with this one - eh - nvm the brain doesn't want to do the math right now
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I want a buck fifty
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Up until the 2010 storms (and really until the 2011 storm), MoCo consistently forgot about my street. They've been worlds better the past few years - sometimes we'll even see a plow before the snow has even stopped and additional ones after. I'm a little surprised we haven't seen one yet with it not being double-digit snow. But I'm guessing it'll be at some point before noon today. With the frigid temps, my guess is they had to exit the subdivisions to spot treat icy spots on the major arteries.
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No plowing or salting yet on my side street of Colesville, MD! Low of 19.2 which I am at right now.
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Bold of you to still be willing to put your drone up with all the drone crap going on! I haven't flown mine in a while now with Remote ID being a requirement now and the drone swarms occurring in various places. Obs: Snow coming down here again!
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Of course there's a chance. Just like every winter there's a chance we get nothing.
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Snow is so weird/fun to watch on radar. Behaves so differently than a line of thunderstorms, for example.
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Radar to my west is improved. Looks like that activity should come through and provide another boost to the snow. Who knows if it'll amount to much!
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Looks like around 5.2" for the total so far in Colesville. told coworker originally 3-6 and then 4-8. Then last night I bumped up to 5-10 with isolated higher. Kind of wishing i had stuck in my original range. It'll still "hit" but let's see what the PM stuff can do.
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There have been several runs of a few models that have shown hints of a monster storm. But of course - it's far out and the shortwaves responsible aren't even in clear view yet.
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Really coming down with larger flakes now in the band over my head right now (Colesville, MD). Probably will help accelerate accumulation at least for a bit.
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Another 0.5" since my last check. Brings my total to 5.0" in Colesville for the moment.
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Another inch since 5:30am measurement it seems. So total here around 4.5" perhaps 4.75" as of 7:05am. Also temp/dew is currently 24.4/23.7 on my PWS. Nice cold snow.
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A while ago - somebody shared a good color table for snow events for GR. It might have been @Eskimo Joe but my memory isn't what it used to be. It was "tuned" for overall lighter returns I feel like. Would love to get that again as I lost it after upgrading computers and to GR2AE v3
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As a ton of our setups are - it's super delicate. But that GEFS is encouraging to see, at least.
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Looks like about 3.5" so far in Colesville, MD. Wish I had ventured out earlier but I dozed off. Might have been more like 3.75" prior to some compaction.
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Yeah the NS is pretty clearly different on the more favorable runs versus the bad runs. Not sweating it at all while we have glorious snow falling outside. We'll make sense of next weekend as we bask in our snow out the window tomorrow/Wed and beyond.
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Street still hasn't caved here yet. But part of that is because during/after the snow squalls the other day, the DUMPED a load of salt near the bottom of the dead-end. Probably is sticking further up the street where less salt was applied.
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In fact - that northern stream stuff that may make or break this are onshore around 60 hours out. Won't take long until we have an idea of the goal posts...
