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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    Next panel for those further N
  2. ORH_wxman
    Regular EPS
  3. ORH_wxman
    Yeah and I think this is how Jan 2015 became very prolific....we were able to jack up the CCB by wrapping up instability into it. We didn't get a true WCB in that.
  4. ORH_wxman
    If we can introduce more WCB into it, then it can go onto HECS territory, but that would def require amplifying this a bit more.
  5. ORH_wxman
    I've always refused to call them by the TWC name. Plus, by calling it by the date, it helps everyone else not forget the year.
  6. ORH_wxman
    Kind of looks like the Ukie...maybe a little better. Doesn't get the MECS-type QPF inland that far...maybe to 128 or BOS-PVD or so. Warnings snows back into most of SNE, but the higher end stuff is SE MA/RI.
  7. ORH_wxman
    When the storm takes a bit of a wide turn, we often see the dry air try and advect down the valleys more efficiently with a drier ageo vector. It obivously gets overcome if you get into the CCB enough, but the areas kind of on the outer periphery should watch it. I think it affected Jan 2015 in some western areas making it even worse arctic sand than usual.
  8. ORH_wxman
    Ukie way NW and finally a hit. 20 burger for PYM area. Prob close to a foot for BOS-PVD....rest of us are in the 6-10" range except far western MA.
  9. ORH_wxman
    20 burgers in SE MA this run
  10. ORH_wxman
    CCB def gets pulled a little north despite the low starting a touch east. Looks a little healthier than 06z
  11. ORH_wxman
    Delta-Ts aren't particularly big.....esp this time of the year after the type of winter we've had....water temps are chilly. Might be some as the winds turn more northerly and if we can get 850s down to roughly -10C or so....
  12. ORH_wxman
    Yeah mesos are still marginal right now for utility. ICON gives a 20-burger for SE MA/Cape
  13. ORH_wxman
    RGEM shunted east a little at the last second. Still a good hit for eastern folks but slightly less than 06z
  14. ORH_wxman
    RGEM looks a bit more amped through 36h
  15. ORH_wxman
    Give @ineedsnowa break, he hasn't slept since October.
  16. ORH_wxman
    Def better than 06z and 00z....but not like the globals. It will prob be pretty ujnderwhelming run for most of us but its the NAM in clown range and it got better.
  17. ORH_wxman
    Looks like vis got down to 1 and a quarter briefly so they might have been mostly snow for a brief time or at least a lot of large aggies mixed in to drop the vis....but it was like 10 minutes of vis under 2 miles.
  18. ORH_wxman
    The old SREFS had a bunch of ETA members in there so the synoptics were decent (even the old RSM members weren't bad synoptically either)....but now it's all convective models.
  19. ORH_wxman
    NAM is coming in at a higher angle of attack....that's good for us I think...it won't get cutoff down east of delmarva and miss us like previous runs.
  20. ORH_wxman
    The IVT look got worse tomorrow, but it helps us Monday....we move that whole system east a bit quicker tomorrow so it is one of the factors that helps move Monday further north.
  21. ORH_wxman
    I want to see it keep coming west now because I’m def feeling a messenger shuffle with this one.
  22. ORH_wxman
    06z eps
  23. ORH_wxman
    Reggie looked pretty decent. I’d expect GGEM will be NW. But if the GFS starts drifting SE, then we’re sticking with the Red Sox analogies.
  24. ORH_wxman
    The key is the GFS. If that keeps doubling down and not drifting SE then it gets more interesting.
  25. ORH_wxman
    The 21z ARW wipes SE MA and the Cape off the map.
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