ORH_wxman

Dude cant help himself even when he gives up on winter.

They both had big north trends. PDII was def a miss here several days out.

Looks like I might get an inch of crud again if “lucky”. Theme of the winter on these shredded SWFEs that are too far northwest to hammer the good dynamics into us. This one is probably going to have a lot of holes in the maxes and min up in NNE. I hate when the vortmax goes from like DTW to northwest of Ottawa.

That was a pretty prolific north trend in that one. I remember about 3-4 days out NYC was getting fringed or almost nothing....esp on GFS which always was too far south on those. But even Euro was decently south. Then it was like every single run it bumped north. The old ETA of course was obsessed with hammering SNE and turned out mostly correct.

I had 43” in ‘11-‘12. But the winter itself was so bad I would rate it near the bottom (though above a few others). I def can’t rate it worst overall with getting a 17 inch snowstorm. Winters like ‘01-‘02, ‘99-‘00, and ‘88-‘89 are definitely worse. This year also has a 17 inch snowstorm and it occurred during the holiday season. So subjectively to me that makes it better than ‘11-12 even if the rest of the season is the same. Even though the 2011 storm was more anomalous. I love holiday season snow so it’s a personal preference. ‘79-‘80 also had a very anomalous snowstorm on 10/10/79 but that winter would have ranked probably 2nd worst on my list if I had lived through it. But both ‘11-12 and this year can’t rate lower than those putrid ones I listed above. I might rate ‘90-91 lower than this one too.

Yeah I didn’t even mention 1988/1989 which is probably the worst winter I ever lived through. Before my time there is 1979-1980 and then a whole slew of putrid winters leading up to 1955.

It’s been one of the worst periods on record since New Years around here...the numbers speak for themselves...but I could never rank the overall winter near 2011-2012 or 2001-2002 or even winters like 1994-1995 or 1999-2000....can’t just ignore the snows we had in December with cover nearly the whole month during the holiday season. None of those other seasons had any period like that. I’d I lived on the coast where the snow was less and melted pretty quickly then I’d definitely feel different. Anyways, hopefully we get a couple bombs to finish the season.

Only 4F at ORH....if they somehow don't fall below 0F during that cold shot next week..it will be the first year they failed to fall below 0F since 2011-2012 winter. 4F would also be the highest minimum temp for a winter since 2001-2002 when it only fell to 10F (!!!!). It would actually rank 4th all time....1931-1932 and 1936-1937 only dropped to 5F. 2001-2002 is in a class by itself. We'll see about next Friday though....some of the guidance is pretty damned cold. Even if it doesn't get below 0F, it could easily get below 4F.

No, go ahead and put the shovel and snow blower away.

I usually toss coop snowfall if I notice frequently that their daily snowfall is simply the depth increase from the day before. That tells me they probably aren’t even using a clear snow board even if they’re measuring only once per day.

I still like the look post-2/25. Ridge further east than those -EPO/-PNA patterns we’ve seen. All the ensembles have it...obviously whether it comes to fruition is another story....and of course, even if it does, nobody will care unless they get snow in their backyard out of it.

Yeah it probably enhances the variance a little bit. But overall it’s def been more variant than the prior 60-80 years. Like I don’t think measuring technique would change Boston’s top 3 winter rankings.

Feb 26 and beyond.

That 1925-1955 period is also really underrated for how bad it was....ORH looks like that too....it basically looks like the 1980s except it lasts 30 years.

I'd really like to see that primary get down toward about CLE....then it would get the Dikembe Mutombo treatment as it tries to slice into NY State. But those seem impossible this year.

Primary is still in Lake Huron....pretty much dung for most outside of CAD region og Maine...maybe in parts of NH....but yeah, it's better than 00z, mostly because the whole thing is weaker.

BOS had a pretty nice run from 2012-2013 until last year. Even '15-'16 they nearly got to normal.

All time lowest...9.0" in '36-'37

Kind of a ratter over interior SNE/CNE ('37-'38 that is)....coastline did fine. Not sure how interior CT did.

1953-1954 was a monster ratter....

Yeah I was thinking how basically the northern half of ORH county is doing pretty decent for snow cover days but annual snowfall could end up below average and snow depth days well below average. Uusually I would think "that's due to a cold and dry winter"....but it's been warm and dry since mid-December.

There is nothing obvious...but you can always have a different looking shortwave once it gets closer and the whole thing ends up flatter (or even more amped). The main shortwave responsible is still like 3000 miles out in the pacific southwest of the Aleutians. There's a bunch of arctic jet shortwaves too up north spinning around in areas with bad satellite data....any of those could affect the pattern too.

If we can stop trending this into Lake Huron....then yeah.

Yeah. We finally get a good high to the north this time and the storm wants to go through Lake Huron. Useless. If the system was trying to track through BGM or SYR, it would probably be a warning SWFE. Still some time for it to trend more favorable, but it’s moving the wrong direction right now.

Avg is around 14. So not super far above avg but it counts. March is very volatile for snowfall.