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ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. Minor amount but it’s like kicking a FG in the 3rd quarter down 20-3. Gonna start needing some touchdowns.
  2. GFS/Icon/NAM vs the rest. Kind of feels like the Rich Kotite Jets facing the 1990s Cowboys.
  3. Yeah good bet. They got smoked up there. I bet Watatic has a bunch too. Prob at least 18 near the top.
  4. The north side of mountain road did well. You could see the ski side of the mountain getting parachutes for much of the day. It was really wet there but still accumulated some. But Princeton center just down the road was like 36 and white rain. Really bizarre. You almost never see that. The base of the ski area is lower than the town center and they were doing better from that extra 1-2 mile of latitude.
  5. That was the big front ender that turned to ice (and then rain eventually). Think I had about 7” in that.
  6. I’m a bit surprised places like Princeton didn’t get more but everyone north of them got hit with warning snows it looks like. It was just a 1 in 50 year event where the CF is sitting over Princeton instead of 10-15 miles east (or southeast) Lol
  7. Yes. It would prob be an overrunning or SWFE if we sent the whole thing in flatter and didn’t allow it to dig for oil in the plains.
  8. Have a coating here. A little too warm for good accumulation.
  9. Euro goes nuts(relatively speaking)for E MA pike northward overnight. Would awesome for some peeps to pick up 2-4”. Still a bit skeptical but the guidance has been ramping it up all day.
  10. HRRR really hitting north of the pike later tonight/early tomorrow. We’ll see on that but it’s been trending better.
  11. The TPV is still important imho. I agree the longitude of the western ridge poses issues for a further west track but the TPV getting pinned over SE Canada allows more wiggle room for winter wx in the sensible sense. Like if this tries to cut into PIT/CLE but then it gets forced out underneath us on a secondary reflection….that’s a big winter storm for us versus maybe a quick front-ender to mild rain.
  12. Lot of CAD that run. Would be a large area of icing with that high. Regardless, the details are irrelevant…larger point was the TPV getting tucked into SE Canada. That’s all we can really take from the run.
  13. About 10% of the members had measurable snowfall for 12/11-12/12 about 5-6 days out and most people ignored 12/11 until we got much closer.
  14. It tries to change you over too but I don't like how far southwest you are on that. But we'll just have to wait and see. Guidance has been slowly trending southeats with the SFC low today, so maybe it can produce a little band later further south.
  15. Pretty apparent by 96h that it would. This will be Chicago track or roughly somewhere near there.
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