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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    Yeah prob about 20-25% there historically. We’ve def been getting a little unlucky recently overall with the frequency of pack annihilators in December…but nothing has been too ridiculous.
  2. ORH_wxman
    Yeah he was trying to lump himself in as “unlucky”….lol. I guess for the very narrow scope of white Xmas he has been but overall he’s been about the luckiest spot compared to climo in SNE the past decade.
  3. ORH_wxman
    12z NAM is still staying in the GFS at 48h with the western TPV. Not worth much yet until big boys show something. But the Kotite Jets aren’t folding yet.
  4. ORH_wxman
    It was SW CT somewhere I don’t remember the town. His yardstick says Waterbury in that pic tho. Lol. So it was prob somewhere near there.
  5. ORH_wxman
    Minor amount but it’s like kicking a FG in the 3rd quarter down 20-3. Gonna start needing some touchdowns.
  6. ORH_wxman
    Aka the “Zonties Method”
  7. ORH_wxman
    Gotta love the 944 low off the Delmarva
  8. ORH_wxman
    GFS was a lot of snow on the front end…esp interior. Your area was def worse though.
  9. ORH_wxman
    GFS/Icon/NAM vs the rest. Kind of feels like the Rich Kotite Jets facing the 1990s Cowboys.
  10. ORH_wxman
    Yeah good bet. They got smoked up there. I bet Watatic has a bunch too. Prob at least 18 near the top.
  11. ORH_wxman
    The north side of mountain road did well. You could see the ski side of the mountain getting parachutes for much of the day. It was really wet there but still accumulated some. But Princeton center just down the road was like 36 and white rain. Really bizarre. You almost never see that. The base of the ski area is lower than the town center and they were doing better from that extra 1-2 mile of latitude.
  12. ORH_wxman
    That was the big front ender that turned to ice (and then rain eventually). Think I had about 7” in that.
  13. ORH_wxman
    I’m a bit surprised places like Princeton didn’t get more but everyone north of them got hit with warning snows it looks like. It was just a 1 in 50 year event where the CF is sitting over Princeton instead of 10-15 miles east (or southeast) Lol
  14. ORH_wxman
    Yes. It would prob be an overrunning or SWFE if we sent the whole thing in flatter and didn’t allow it to dig for oil in the plains.
  15. ORH_wxman
    Have a coating here. A little too warm for good accumulation.
  16. ORH_wxman
    Euro goes nuts(relatively speaking)for E MA pike northward overnight. Would awesome for some peeps to pick up 2-4”. Still a bit skeptical but the guidance has been ramping it up all day.
  17. ORH_wxman
    HRRR really hitting north of the pike later tonight/early tomorrow. We’ll see on that but it’s been trending better.
  18. ORH_wxman
    The TPV is still important imho. I agree the longitude of the western ridge poses issues for a further west track but the TPV getting pinned over SE Canada allows more wiggle room for winter wx in the sensible sense. Like if this tries to cut into PIT/CLE but then it gets forced out underneath us on a secondary reflection….that’s a big winter storm for us versus maybe a quick front-ender to mild rain.
  19. ORH_wxman
    Lot of CAD that run. Would be a large area of icing with that high. Regardless, the details are irrelevant…larger point was the TPV getting tucked into SE Canada. That’s all we can really take from the run.
  20. ORH_wxman
    GFS def not budging on the PAC look
  21. ORH_wxman
    About 10% of the members had measurable snowfall for 12/11-12/12 about 5-6 days out and most people ignored 12/11 until we got much closer.
  22. ORH_wxman
    Scooter's probability maps are going to look a lot uglier today....
  23. ORH_wxman
    That says nothing about probability.
  24. ORH_wxman
    Embrace it.....
  25. ORH_wxman
    EPS is trending toward the OP run too with the western Canada energy.
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