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ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. Maybe because today's setup isn't a lakes cutter and there's no PV in western Canada today? Other than that, they look exactly the same.
  2. Solutions like the GGEM are a complete synoptic change because it has no PV/PV lobe pinned in SE Canada....it just retrogrades it to western Canada opening the doors for a lakes cutter....so that pv is something to watch.
  3. It's lazy attempt at trolling....esp since the setup on next week's storm doesn't really look anything like today's storm. If it somehow ends up similar, it would be out of sheer coincidence rather than some special forecasting skill by qg_omega.
  4. PV lob is pinned further SE this run so that would reduce the chance of something looking cutterish
  5. Plan on nothing and if you get an inch or two, it will be a pleasant surprise. I don't like late tonight that much since the low is already lifting north....north of pike maybe slightly better shot since the flow is still more northerly rather than NW.
  6. Apparently enough people on here..... This morning is honestly some of the best entertainment I've seen on here. Just unhinged posters with zero ability to parse data in a logical manner. This is when I really wish we still had the weenie tags.
  7. 3k tracks over the Cape....it also brings a but more of a CCB early tomorrow. Not as good as Euro/GFS but might be an inch or two in spots.
  8. Euro def had a nice CCB band curling down for late tonight/early tomorrow. But yeah, not really buying it yet because I'd like to see other guidance...esp mesoscales. GFS had it too at 06z.
  9. Yeah flipped there about 30-40 min ago i think. Down to 32 quickly.
  10. You will prob start parachuting soon if that front moves even another mile or two.
  11. Lift was also kind of meh I think. I noticed how cellular and fragmented radar looked down there even predawn. But who knows if it would have mattered. There def seems to be a distinct boundary in N ORH county.
  12. Front looks like its just south of rt 2 in ORH county. I’m surprised there’s like a 5-6F difference over a couple miles. I didn’t really see that on guidance. We’ll see if it sinks a bit more over the next couple hours.
  13. Rap has been hitting the snow hard for you. It has like 4 or 5”
  14. The radar is going to look snowy for a long time because aloft supports snow until around midday there. It’ll lose the snow texture in CT a bit earlier but the problem in this event for a good chunk of it is low level temps and not aloft…much of the precip is done by the time 850-875 warm above freezing. The radar is shooting that beam a few thousand feet aloft by the time it reaches central areas.
  15. Yeah I’d be surprised if they don’t get at least a foot and a 20 burger is a distinct possibility.
  16. Bodies in S VT is another good suspect (no pun intended)
  17. I dunno check out 1983 Xmas in the CONUS. That may have ‘80 beat too (not locally but in many other areas)
  18. Looks like BOX convinced them to cave in southern Cheshire county. I'm still bullish in that area.
  19. Yeah I'd prob go a little higher in Norfolk area....they've been consistently getting 10+ on guidance.
  20. 18z NAM actually has a better ending over eastern areas early Saturday than previous runs....but I don't really buy it when the low is already at or beyond our latitude. IT's trying to show a good CCB...though 850 is still almost out of the east north of the pike so maybe....
  21. Which is funny because other guidance is getting more amped while RAP keeps getting colder....19z run actually hits ORH to Tolland pretty hard.
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