Jump to content

tiger_deF

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    546

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by tiger_deF

  1. tiger_deF
    Pretty epic bust potential in either direction for this. I could buy a weak, sheared TS crossing hundreds of miles offshore, a cat 2 landfall in SE NE, or anything in between.
  2. tiger_deF
    I'm interested in seeing if Henri has a symmetrical, concentrated wind profile, or one that is shallow with multiple wind maxima.
  3. tiger_deF
    For NY/LI/Mid-Atlantic? Yeah Sandy will almost certainly be worse. I think the localized impacts may end up being worse for the Cape and some of SE new England.
  4. tiger_deF
    Considering Henri is directly under 32kt of Northerly unfavorable shear, he isn't looking too bad this AM
  5. tiger_deF
    It's worth pointing out that the SST's off the coast are running 2-3+ degrees Celsius above normal, which could potentially be lifting the relative latitude where a cyclone is able to maintain tropical characteristics.
  6. tiger_deF
    Looking forwards to what recon finds today. IMO Henri was a hurricane all of yesterday, slightly weakened to a tropical storm overnight, and is now maintaining intensity in face of shear
  7. tiger_deF
    Looks to be trying to form a primative eyewall. Still not quite there, but whether it can hold off from shear and complete itself over the next 36 hours is crucial to it's eventual track.
  8. tiger_deF
    Henri looks to be trying to close off an eye. Still not quite there, but certainly indicative of a low end hurricane.
  9. tiger_deF
    The short-term strength of Henri will be crucial to the eventual track; will he continue to steadily intensify, or briefly weaken due to shear?
  10. tiger_deF
    I wouldn't be suprised if Henri is closing in on 995 mb right now
  11. tiger_deF
    I doubt we will have a clear idea of what Henri is going to do until we start getting regular recon data fed into the models, which should be the case by Friday
  12. tiger_deF
    HMON appears to split Henri into two competing systems, latching onto the southern lobe. Toss-worthy?
  13. tiger_deF
  14. tiger_deF
    Smart money is on OTS, but this is the strongest, closest signal I have seen for potential TC impacts since Isaias, and the trends have been very consistently West since a few days ago
  15. tiger_deF
    And we track... increasingly excited but I can't help but feel I will wake up tomorrow and it will appear to be headed definitively out to sea.
  16. tiger_deF
  17. tiger_deF
    Power outages are spiking in NNE Wisconsin
  18. tiger_deF
    Most large-scale volcanic eruptions result in so much detritus getting ejected into the air that it produces a notable decline in the average temperature due to increasing the amount of sunlight reflected. It's hypothesized that several major historical famines coincided with frosts and cold snaps from such events.
  19. tiger_deF
    Elsa is looking fierce and her appearance is improving as she crawls up the South
  20. tiger_deF
    I'd bet our chances for something tropical this season are likely tied with this storm, like Isaias around a similar time last season. Not discounting a peak season threat, but it has been a looong time
  21. tiger_deF
    I hope that the models are picking up on some kind of baroclinic transition, as I can see those winds being probable in a transitioning hybrid system, certainly not anything fully tropical.
  22. tiger_deF
    Looks like it's go time folks
  23. tiger_deF
    Southern part of the line is beefing up pretty quickly
  24. tiger_deF
    Seems to be outperforming last week's outbreak despite having far less hype
  25. tiger_deF
    So far is this busting above, below, or right around what was forecast? I have a great deal of family in GA anxiously watching these developments and any insight would be very helpful
×
×
  • Create New...