tiger_deF
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Everything posted by tiger_deF
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They'd be right unfortunately Unrelated, I think totally writing off any threat is just as irresponsible as doomcasting, we are 172 hours out and things can easily change.
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Decent shift west on the GFS, sets up a similar high/trof system to the ICON, but the angle of the trough is significantly steeper and fails to capture the system. Still barely scrapes over Nova Scotia.
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Just remember, all these threats never materialize or verify... until they do. All it takes is one
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More important is the trend that models are no longer ratcheting this to the right, but are keeping it's north heading, or even turning slightly west
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Of course I don't expect this to happen, but I do feel like some sort of impact from Teddy is definitely not entirely out of the cards. Just hypothetically, this situation would easily push 15-20 feet of surge right into the bay. Can't even imagine the level of devastation
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Oh my
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For what it's worth the GEFS has a significant westward shift, with easily 20% of the models raking/making landfall in SNE
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I have a feeling 20L (soon to be teddy) might be a sleeper threat, the track and models have been shifting west and the general (west then a turn directly north) is certainly conductive for NE impacts
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Just pointing out that Laura was significantly stronger upon CONUS landfall than every single one of 2005's US threats
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Just wait until we get an actual below average season, I think the season cancel folks might go nuts
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Pretty consistent signal for something in the area on the GFS
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Models have been shite with genesis all season... I've never seen them so suppressed. You'd think we haven't had a 14-4-1 by August 27th
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This may age badly
