On the other hand for it to hit central WI it has to stay stronger, more phased, with less shear. Attributes a storm system modeled SE of us seems impossible to attain the last several yrs.
^ Its coming. With a storm track over Chicago and misses NW most of the winter; will probably get that pattern change end of Feb or early March followed by cold dump(transient or more staying power?) and misses SE.
RFD sitting at 16.6" so far this year. Only a few miles down the road. RFD ended up with 21.6" total last year as points NW of ORD way below last year also. Two years in a row extreme N IL a dead zone for snowfall.
Nice you enjoyed brief window of winter conditions. Haven't skied Devils Head in a long time ( golfed there a few yrs back). Mostly Alpine Valley and occasionally Cascade. Pierce Lake still non swimming?Grew up in that area and remember heading to Pearl Lake.
So that is indicative of a SSW causing a weakening and disruption of the PV? I was under the impression that even SSWs that do occur doesn't necessarily displace a lobe of the PV into North America. Sometimes it dislodges it into Asia or Europe.
Interesting graphic showing how lame even last winter was for a large portion of the subforum even compared to this year up to this point. Last Feb. southern half of LOT to DTW cashed in to offset those deficits.