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Cary67

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Everything posted by Cary67

  1. Outside of LES zones one might think hoping to track numerous winter storms in this area every year is by in large a waste of time. Or at least an exercise in long term patience. Except for some favorable pattern years ie 13-14,07-08, and some big dogs; most years the reality of our snow climate falls well short of weather enthusiasts tracking hopes.
  2. Interesting Madison sits at 41.5" while RFD at 24" considering the eastern trough pattern dominating a lot of the winter. That 70 miles shows up significantly in seasonal averages. RFD at 37" vs 50" for Madison. They even exceed Milwaukee seasonally which seems odd given MKE LES potential to fluff up totals. Edit: Madison 51.8" seasonal average, MKE 48"
  3. Yeah but it seems Chicago has benefitted more from LES events than normal this winter for being on the wrong side of the lake. I don't have statistics for it though.
  4. If it wasn't for LES ORD could join RFD in the sub 30 sweepstakes club. Clippers have dusted Chicago a bit more than the rest of N. IL also. Every mile further E/NE under the trough helps. Great winter for Toronto
  5. I will wait till at least St. Patrick's Day or possibly Easter for final tallies.
  6. Looked outside. This is broom event #9
  7. I would of thought you cashed in on a little LES. After the fast start its been mostly dusters here since Dec8th. Further east into downtown and north shore they've had some LES events. Every mile east of here matters as far as LES and being more under the clipper track this year. RFD still at 24" for the season but ORD up at 31"+. DTW even better along with a lot of Ohio relative to averages
  8. From LOT AFD: Also have to point out a growing signal for a southwest-flow synoptic scale cyclone somewhere east of the Rocky Mountains in the February 11-14 timeframe, with both the GEFS/EPS already favoring our area being on the warm side. Should a cyclone actually develop and we end up on the warm side, could easily envision forecast focus trending toward hydrology concerns considering the frost depth of just deeper than 13 inches at our office isn`t going to vanish anytime soon.
  9. RFD had 4.7" ORD 11.1" Jan.totals Average January ORD monthly totals 11.1" Difference mostly LES. MBY somewhere between those so would give the month a C-. Mostly swiped by dusters and flakes in the air from distant LES. Trough position too far east with us sitting on backside. If pattern resets ideally trough digs back further west if not could be repeat of January.
  10. Was in Northbrook most of the day. It was ripping at times. Sad to head back to dust town
  11. Hopefully. This weekend is approximately duster event #9 for my area. At about 26-27" on the season. RFD lagging a bit at 23.9"
  12. That's nice. No chance for blowing and drifting on the way back and forth to Iowa City
  13. Hopefully LES totals didn't skew ORD official numbers too much
  14. Definitely. Will ease this weekends swing and miss out here.
  15. I tend to follow certain markers. If it's snowing hard in Evansville it's not snowing much here. If the SLP track is taking the little Egypt route I'm in business. Chicago seems more in play with these southern systems since you'll get this LES signal to show up fluffing up totals. Sometimes comes to fruition; a lot of times doesn't. I always figure qpf is overdone on the margins and will erode away as event nears provided there's no consensual shift of the models NW
  16. -11F this morning Edit:-12F currently
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