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Cary67

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Everything posted by Cary67

  1. Cary67
    From LOT AFD: Also have to point out a growing signal for a southwest-flow synoptic scale cyclone somewhere east of the Rocky Mountains in the February 11-14 timeframe, with both the GEFS/EPS already favoring our area being on the warm side. Should a cyclone actually develop and we end up on the warm side, could easily envision forecast focus trending toward hydrology concerns considering the frost depth of just deeper than 13 inches at our office isn`t going to vanish anytime soon.
  2. Cary67
    RFD had 4.7" ORD 11.1" Jan.totals Average January ORD monthly totals 11.1" Difference mostly LES. MBY somewhere between those so would give the month a C-. Mostly swiped by dusters and flakes in the air from distant LES. Trough position too far east with us sitting on backside. If pattern resets ideally trough digs back further west if not could be repeat of January.
  3. Cary67
    Was in Northbrook most of the day. It was ripping at times. Sad to head back to dust town
  4. Cary67
    Hopefully. This weekend is approximately duster event #9 for my area. At about 26-27" on the season. RFD lagging a bit at 23.9"
  5. Cary67
    That's nice. No chance for blowing and drifting on the way back and forth to Iowa City
  6. Cary67
  7. Cary67
  8. Cary67
    Hopefully LES totals didn't skew ORD official numbers too much
  9. Cary67
    Definitely. Will ease this weekends swing and miss out here.
  10. Cary67
    They steal one at Mackey?
  11. Cary67
    Lake bake making the cake
  12. Cary67
    I tend to follow certain markers. If it's snowing hard in Evansville it's not snowing much here. If the SLP track is taking the little Egypt route I'm in business. Chicago seems more in play with these southern systems since you'll get this LES signal to show up fluffing up totals. Sometimes comes to fruition; a lot of times doesn't. I always figure qpf is overdone on the margins and will erode away as event nears provided there's no consensual shift of the models NW
  13. Cary67
    -11F this morning Edit:-12F currently
  14. Cary67
    Call of 1.0" here
  15. Cary67
    Snowmobiling Edit: Helps with north facing yard also
  16. Cary67
    One last jolt from the paddles before last rites read
  17. Cary67
    Seemed to remember endless dry qpf EMCF maps last year. At some point in February figure trough lifts out of the east and we get another wet cutter as ridge out west sloshes east ala mid December.Trough probably redigs in same location at some point later
  18. Cary67
    Thx. Remember the near misses more than the hits
  19. Cary67
    Was that the downtown lake effect special?
  20. Cary67
    Would think it's a step back. Especially compared to 0Z ECMF run
  21. Cary67
    Would expect qpf numbers to dry up a bit and models usually are overdone at this range.
  22. Cary67
  23. Cary67
    GEM looks good for downstate, central Indiana, Ohio folks possibly DTW.
  24. Cary67
    Slightly more than a broom needed. About 1.0"
  25. Cary67
    For those concerned north of I-80
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