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clskinsfan

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Everything posted by clskinsfan

  1. clskinsfan
    Whoever wrote it is very good at hitting on the science, for us weenies that want it, while making it easily readable for the general public. Excellent write up.
  2. clskinsfan
    thats for later. A couple hours before bed.
  3. clskinsfan
    I gotta stop day drinking. These models are making me lose my shit.
  4. clskinsfan
  5. clskinsfan
    Yeah. ICON way better. Ticked north just a touch. baby steps.
  6. clskinsfan
    ICON maybe 30 miles north with the vort at 36. Think it will be a better run.
  7. clskinsfan
    I think maybe its because of the shape of the precip field heading into the event? You have snow from Central Kansas to Central VA on this map.
  8. clskinsfan
    LP off VB is tasty.
  9. clskinsfan
    Wouldnt want to be a southern VA met right now. Your forecast would have to be anything from rain to 15 inches of snow.
  10. clskinsfan
    Ji and Yacht Rock. That is a dangerous combo I think.
  11. clskinsfan
    3K holds onto the cold for longer.
  12. clskinsfan
    Northern crew will like the NAM as well. NOVA/DC fighting the sleet line.
  13. clskinsfan
    Anything over 8 inches is a pain in the ass now that I am an old man. Pretty nasty warning for the southern Shen Valley. up to 5 inches with a half inch of ice on top. Glacier maker according to their mets. ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 5 inches and ice accumulations up to four tenths of an inch.
  14. clskinsfan
    Its a beatdown. It has a nasty dryslot and drives the primary up into central WV. But this is right at that point. No clue what it would do with the ULL after this. But a serious hit on the front end. And should make the northern crew feel a little better.
  15. clskinsfan
    18Z HRRR is beautiful. Snow and 19 degrees out here.
  16. clskinsfan
    Cant remember the last time I had a squall drop a half inch that didnt melt within a few hours. Nice going into the next event with snow already on the ground.
  17. clskinsfan
    I honestly dont know how anyone can panic about 4 inches of cold powder that will be on the ground for weeks. Also with another threat just days away after this one. We have a chance at a historic January here.
  18. clskinsfan
    I think next weekends event ends up a bomb for you guys. Would be nice to get the entire East Coast buried by the end of the month.
  19. clskinsfan
    FV3 is my soulmate. Still a ways to go snowfall wise after this too.
  20. clskinsfan
    It just jumps a little too late for us on the Euro. Still in the game though.
  21. clskinsfan
    I dont have access to the 51 panel at 12z on the Euro. But it is still closed off at 48 then open at 54. Seems to be in the middle of the GFS/UK.
  22. clskinsfan
    Me either. And I am banging my head against the wall.
  23. clskinsfan
    Euro stays closed off longer than the UK. But not as long as the GFS. Probably the happy medium?
  24. clskinsfan
    I am up in Winchester. So I am not out of the game. But I would certainly prefer a combo of the Euro/UK over the American models. I think you all are sitting pretty to be honest. And glad for the southern Shenandoah Valley. You guys are due.
  25. clskinsfan
    Also at 51 the GFS is closed off at 500 in KY and the UK is not. So the GFS is trying to drive the surface low north. The UK is not. Crazy the difference this close to the event.
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